Recent ensemble forecasts for Wuhan indicate a September 1 high near 29–31°C, with cloud cover and scattered showers tied to a trough and peripheral moisture moderating peak heating from recent subtropical highs. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted timing and extent of northeast winds and precipitation, which can alter surface solar radiation and thus maximum temperature by 1–2°C. Official guidance from agencies shows consensus around this narrow band amid typical late-August transition patterns, where humidity and wind shifts create the observed market clustering near 28–30°C while leaving room for modest forecast revisions before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 1. September?
29°C 28%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
28%
30°C
26%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
29°C 28%
30°C 26%
28°C 22%
31°C 12%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
28%
30°C
26%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Wuhan indicate a September 1 high near 29–31°C, with cloud cover and scattered showers tied to a trough and peripheral moisture moderating peak heating from recent subtropical highs. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in predicted timing and extent of northeast winds and precipitation, which can alter surface solar radiation and thus maximum temperature by 1–2°C. Official guidance from agencies shows consensus around this narrow band amid typical late-August transition patterns, where humidity and wind shifts create the observed market clustering near 28–30°C while leaving room for modest forecast revisions before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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