Recent MetService and NIWA guidance, aligned with ensemble model consensus, positions a 13°C maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 7 amid typical winter conditions in the city’s temperate oceanic climate. Daytime highs near the long-term August average of 12–14°C reflect a post-polar-blast stabilization, with clearing skies and light winds limiting further cooling after earlier frosts. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 13°C because short-range forecasts show minimal deviation from climatology, while 12°C and 14°C brackets capture residual model spread. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine exact maximums measured at official stations before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wellington am 7. August?
13°C 56%
12°C 25%
14°C 14%
11°C 3%
$13,267 Vol.
$13,267 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
25%
13°C
56%
14°C
14%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 56%
12°C 25%
14°C 14%
11°C 3%
$13,267 Vol.
$13,267 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
25%
13°C
56%
14°C
14%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and NIWA guidance, aligned with ensemble model consensus, positions a 13°C maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 7 amid typical winter conditions in the city’s temperate oceanic climate. Daytime highs near the long-term August average of 12–14°C reflect a post-polar-blast stabilization, with clearing skies and light winds limiting further cooling after earlier frosts. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 13°C because short-range forecasts show minimal deviation from climatology, while 12°C and 14°C brackets capture residual model spread. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine exact maximums measured at official stations before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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