Recent forecasts from models like GFS show Warsaw's August 31 maximum likely reaching 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow, and scattered thunderstorm chances that could limit daytime heating through cloud cover and precipitation. Trader emphasis on the 27°C-or-higher outcome at 60% implied probability reflects late-summer warmth persistence, with some ensemble runs supporting brief peaks near or above that threshold before any cooling front arrives; the 26°C bucket at 27.5% captures the consensus central tendency. Historical late-August averages near 24–26°C and current surface pressure patterns provide context, yet forecast spread from storm timing and intensity maintains meaningful uncertainty until official observations finalize the daily high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Warschau am 31. August?
27°C or higher 61%
26°C 27%
25°C 7%
24°C 4%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
27%
27°C or higher
61%
27°C or higher 61%
26°C 27%
25°C 7%
24°C 4%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
$251 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$342 Vol.
1%
24°C
$325 Vol.
4%
25°C
$1,472 Vol.
7%
26°C
$878 Vol.
27%
27°C or higher
$3,215 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS show Warsaw's August 31 maximum likely reaching 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow, and scattered thunderstorm chances that could limit daytime heating through cloud cover and precipitation. Trader emphasis on the 27°C-or-higher outcome at 60% implied probability reflects late-summer warmth persistence, with some ensemble runs supporting brief peaks near or above that threshold before any cooling front arrives; the 26°C bucket at 27.5% captures the consensus central tendency. Historical late-August averages near 24–26°C and current surface pressure patterns provide context, yet forecast spread from storm timing and intensity maintains meaningful uncertainty until official observations finalize the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$8,150Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS show Warsaw's August 31 maximum likely reaching 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow, and scattered thunderstorm chances that could limit daytime heating through cloud cover and precipitation. Trader emphasis on the 27°C-or-higher outcome at 60% implied probability reflects late-summer warmth persistence, with some ensemble runs supporting brief peaks near or above that threshold before any cooling front arrives; the 26°C bucket at 27.5% captures the consensus central tendency. Historical late-August averages near 24–26°C and current surface pressure patterns provide context, yet forecast spread from storm timing and intensity maintains meaningful uncertainty until official observations finalize the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,150Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like GFS show Warsaw's August 31 maximum likely reaching 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow, and scattered thunderstorm chances that could limit daytime heating through cloud cover and precipitation. Trader emphasis on the 27°C-or-higher outcome at 60% implied probability reflects late-summer warmth persistence, with some ensemble runs supporting brief peaks near or above that threshold before any cooling front arrives; the 26°C bucket at 27.5% captures the consensus central tendency. Historical late-August averages near 24–26°C and current surface pressure patterns provide context, yet forecast spread from storm timing and intensity maintains meaningful uncertainty until official observations finalize the daily high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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