Current forecast guidance positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 21, aligning with late-summer climatology where August averages reach 30–31°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This setup favors clear skies, strong insolation, and light Mediterranean sea breezes that limit daytime mixing while allowing surface heating to peak near or slightly above normal. Recent observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm stable anticyclonic conditions with negligible rainfall and temperatures tracking seasonal baselines. Global model ensembles show limited spread for the date, though any late-week shift in steering flow or added moisture could trim the high by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether the market-implied 67.5% consensus on 33°C holds or tilts toward 32–34°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 21. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 21. August?
33°C 67%
34°C 18%
32°C 15%
35°C 3%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
15%
33°C
67%
34°C
18%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 67%
34°C 18%
32°C 15%
35°C 3%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$246 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$346 Vol.
1%
31°C
$34 Vol.
2%
32°C
$70 Vol.
15%
33°C
$239 Vol.
67%
34°C
$96 Vol.
18%
35°C
$72 Vol.
3%
36°C
$17 Vol.
1%
37°C
$24 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 21, aligning with late-summer climatology where August averages reach 30–31°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This setup favors clear skies, strong insolation, and light Mediterranean sea breezes that limit daytime mixing while allowing surface heating to peak near or slightly above normal. Recent observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm stable anticyclonic conditions with negligible rainfall and temperatures tracking seasonal baselines. Global model ensembles show limited spread for the date, though any late-week shift in steering flow or added moisture could trim the high by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether the market-implied 67.5% consensus on 33°C holds or tilts toward 32–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,665Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 21, aligning with late-summer climatology where August averages reach 30–31°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This setup favors clear skies, strong insolation, and light Mediterranean sea breezes that limit daytime mixing while allowing surface heating to peak near or slightly above normal. Recent observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm stable anticyclonic conditions with negligible rainfall and temperatures tracking seasonal baselines. Global model ensembles show limited spread for the date, though any late-week shift in steering flow or added moisture could trim the high by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether the market-implied 67.5% consensus on 33°C holds or tilts toward 32–34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,665Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 21, aligning with late-summer climatology where August averages reach 30–31°C under persistent subtropical high pressure. This setup favors clear skies, strong insolation, and light Mediterranean sea breezes that limit daytime mixing while allowing surface heating to peak near or slightly above normal. Recent observations from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm stable anticyclonic conditions with negligible rainfall and temperatures tracking seasonal baselines. Global model ensembles show limited spread for the date, though any late-week shift in steering flow or added moisture could trim the high by 1°C. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify whether the market-implied 67.5% consensus on 33°C holds or tilts toward 32–34°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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