Ensemble forecasts from major models position Tel Aviv’s August 12 peak near 34–35 °C, reflecting persistent summer anticyclonic conditions, strong solar heating, and light northerly flow that limits sea-breeze moderation along the coast. Recent IMS guidance and extended-range guidance show no significant cooling trend through mid-month, keeping daily maxima 2–3 °C above the long-term August average of ~30–31 °C. Differentiation between the closely matched 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes hinges on small variations in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and resolution of local urban-heat effects versus marine influence. Traders are weighting these subtle model spreads and typical day-to-day variability observed in coastal Israel during late summer.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 12. August?
35°C 44%
34°C 41%
36°C 9%
33°C 7%
32°C oder weniger
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
41%
35°C
44%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C oder höher
<1%
35°C 44%
34°C 41%
36°C 9%
33°C 7%
32°C oder weniger
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
41%
35°C
44%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from major models position Tel Aviv’s August 12 peak near 34–35 °C, reflecting persistent summer anticyclonic conditions, strong solar heating, and light northerly flow that limits sea-breeze moderation along the coast. Recent IMS guidance and extended-range guidance show no significant cooling trend through mid-month, keeping daily maxima 2–3 °C above the long-term August average of ~30–31 °C. Differentiation between the closely matched 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes hinges on small variations in boundary-layer moisture, exact timing of peak insolation, and resolution of local urban-heat effects versus marine influence. Traders are weighting these subtle model spreads and typical day-to-day variability observed in coastal Israel during late summer.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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