National Weather Service forecasts indicate sunny skies and a warming trend under strengthening high pressure will drive Seattle's August 4 high into the low-to-mid 80s, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show temperatures climbing from the mid-70s observed on August 3, with north-to-northwest flow limiting marine influence and supporting daytime maxima near 82-86°F across the Puget Sound region. This positioning reflects the ongoing above-normal summer pattern documented by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, though afternoon sea breezes or minor model spread could keep readings closer to 82-83°F. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 4. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 4. August?
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 32%
86-87°F 10%
80-81°F 9%
NEU
$10,240 Vol.
NEU
$10,240 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
75°F oder darunter
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F oder höher
<1%
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 32%
86-87°F 10%
80-81°F 9%
NEU
$10,240 Vol.
NEU
$10,240 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
75°F oder darunter
$406 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$640 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$851 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,981 Vol.
9%
82-83°F
$466 Vol.
32%
84-85°F
$740 Vol.
44%
86-87°F
$2,164 Vol.
10%
88-89°F
$1,748 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$510 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$823 Vol.
<1%
94°F oder höher
$393 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts indicate sunny skies and a warming trend under strengthening high pressure will drive Seattle's August 4 high into the low-to-mid 80s, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show temperatures climbing from the mid-70s observed on August 3, with north-to-northwest flow limiting marine influence and supporting daytime maxima near 82-86°F across the Puget Sound region. This positioning reflects the ongoing above-normal summer pattern documented by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, though afternoon sea breezes or minor model spread could keep readings closer to 82-83°F. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$10,240Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts indicate sunny skies and a warming trend under strengthening high pressure will drive Seattle's August 4 high into the low-to-mid 80s, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show temperatures climbing from the mid-70s observed on August 3, with north-to-northwest flow limiting marine influence and supporting daytime maxima near 82-86°F across the Puget Sound region. This positioning reflects the ongoing above-normal summer pattern documented by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, though afternoon sea breezes or minor model spread could keep readings closer to 82-83°F. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,240Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate sunny skies and a warming trend under strengthening high pressure will drive Seattle's August 4 high into the low-to-mid 80s, aligning with the market's leading 84-85°F outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show temperatures climbing from the mid-70s observed on August 3, with north-to-northwest flow limiting marine influence and supporting daytime maxima near 82-86°F across the Puget Sound region. This positioning reflects the ongoing above-normal summer pattern documented by NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, though afternoon sea breezes or minor model spread could keep readings closer to 82-83°F. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily ahead of final observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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