Recent model runs show Sao Paulo's maximum temperature today hovering near the 28–29 °C threshold, with ensemble forecasts split because of modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. South-easterly flow and a weak frontal passage are limiting stronger warming, while the urban heat island adds roughly 1–2 °C to official station readings. Historical August climatology centers on 23–25 °C, so current above-average guidance keeps the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes tightly matched in trader sentiment. Updated INMET observations and late-day model guidance will decide which value records the daily high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 6. August?
28°C 37%
29°C 35%
27°C 18%
30°C 10%
$19,817 Vol.
$19,817 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
18%
28°C
37%
29°C
35%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 37%
29°C 35%
27°C 18%
30°C 10%
$19,817 Vol.
$19,817 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
18%
28°C
37%
29°C
35%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs show Sao Paulo's maximum temperature today hovering near the 28–29 °C threshold, with ensemble forecasts split because of modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. South-easterly flow and a weak frontal passage are limiting stronger warming, while the urban heat island adds roughly 1–2 °C to official station readings. Historical August climatology centers on 23–25 °C, so current above-average guidance keeps the 28 °C and 29 °C outcomes tightly matched in trader sentiment. Updated INMET observations and late-day model guidance will decide which value records the daily high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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