Latest forecasts from meteorological services indicate a daily maximum of 26–27°C in São Paulo on August 4 under persistent overcast conditions with light winds, aligning with trader consensus around those outcomes. August climatology typically features highs near 23–25°C, but Inmet guidance notes a modest positive anomaly across central Brazil this month due to broader atmospheric patterns. Key variables differentiating the narrow spread include daytime cloud thickness, which limits solar heating, and any late-afternoon clearing that could push readings higher. Official station measurements will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes, with model consensus currently favoring the upper end of the 25–27°C range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 4. August?
26°C 41%
27°C 34%
25°C 19%
28°C 9%
$11,027 Vol.
$11,027 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
19%
26°C
41%
27°C
34%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 41%
27°C 34%
25°C 19%
28°C 9%
$11,027 Vol.
$11,027 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
19%
26°C
41%
27°C
34%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from meteorological services indicate a daily maximum of 26–27°C in São Paulo on August 4 under persistent overcast conditions with light winds, aligning with trader consensus around those outcomes. August climatology typically features highs near 23–25°C, but Inmet guidance notes a modest positive anomaly across central Brazil this month due to broader atmospheric patterns. Key variables differentiating the narrow spread include daytime cloud thickness, which limits solar heating, and any late-afternoon clearing that could push readings higher. Official station measurements will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle completes, with model consensus currently favoring the upper end of the 25–27°C range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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