Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to peak temperatures in Qingdao on August 2 near 31–33°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, tempered by coastal sea breezes. Persistent regional heat across eastern China, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and above-average sea surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea, supports the market's clustering around 35–37°C as traders weigh potential model adjustments for local urban heat effects or reduced cloud cover. Differentiation among these close outcomes hinges on short-term variables such as exact timing of any sea-breeze onset, humidity levels near 70%, and minor shifts in forecast soundings that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local station observations expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Qingdao am 2. August?
36°C 40%
35°C 31%
37°C 24%
38°C oder höher 7%
28°C oder darunter
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
31%
36°C
40%
37°C
24%
38°C oder höher
7%
36°C 40%
35°C 31%
37°C 24%
38°C oder höher 7%
28°C oder darunter
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
31%
36°C
40%
37°C
24%
38°C oder höher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to peak temperatures in Qingdao on August 2 near 31–33°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds, tempered by coastal sea breezes. Persistent regional heat across eastern China, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and above-average sea surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea, supports the market's clustering around 35–37°C as traders weigh potential model adjustments for local urban heat effects or reduced cloud cover. Differentiation among these close outcomes hinges on short-term variables such as exact timing of any sea-breeze onset, humidity levels near 70%, and minor shifts in forecast soundings that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local station observations expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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