**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high for Panama City, Panama, on August 17, with 98.9% implied probability.** This reflects peak wet-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), which promotes widespread convective cloud cover, frequent showers, and reduced solar insolation that caps daytime heating well below the long-term August average of 29–30°C. Official observations and station data from August 17 align with a maximum near 26°C (roughly 79°F), consistent with persistent overcast skies and precipitation typical of the rainy season in the region. Historical patterns show that strong convective activity during mid-August often suppresses highs by 3–4°C relative to clearer periods. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve discrepancies in official reporting thresholds, station-specific measurement timing, or rare data revisions from monitoring agencies, though these remain low-probability given the convergence of real-time reports and model guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 17. August?
26°C 98.8%
27°C <1%
24°C oder niedriger <1%
25°C <1%
$24,991 Vol.
$24,991 Vol.
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
99%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 98.8%
27°C <1%
24°C oder niedriger <1%
25°C <1%
$24,991 Vol.
$24,991 Vol.
24°C oder niedriger
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
99%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C high for Panama City, Panama, on August 17, with 98.9% implied probability.** This reflects peak wet-season conditions driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), which promotes widespread convective cloud cover, frequent showers, and reduced solar insolation that caps daytime heating well below the long-term August average of 29–30°C. Official observations and station data from August 17 align with a maximum near 26°C (roughly 79°F), consistent with persistent overcast skies and precipitation typical of the rainy season in the region. Historical patterns show that strong convective activity during mid-August often suppresses highs by 3–4°C relative to clearer periods. The only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution involve discrepancies in official reporting thresholds, station-specific measurement timing, or rare data revisions from monitoring agencies, though these remain low-probability given the convergence of real-time reports and model guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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