Mexico City's elevated subtropical highland location at roughly 2,240 meters limits daytime heating during the August rainy season, with official SMN forecasts for August 18 projecting a maximum of 25–28°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers. Afternoon convection and reduced insolation from thickening cumulus typically cap temperatures near the seasonal average of 24°C, creating tight uncertainty between 25°C and 26°C outcomes that dominate trader consensus. Minor differences hinge on exact timing of any showers, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiation reaching the surface before convective inhibition sets in. Updated model guidance or real-time station observations from the central valley could quickly shift implied probabilities if skies clear earlier than expected or if stronger thunderstorm activity develops.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 18. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 18. August?
26°C 42%
25°C 33%
27°C 12%
24°C 7%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
20°C oder weniger
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
33%
26°C
42%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 33%
27°C 12%
24°C 7%
NEU
NEU
18. Aug. 2026
20°C oder weniger
$35 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$91 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$344 Vol.
1%
23°C
$394 Vol.
3%
24°C
$570 Vol.
7%
25°C
$577 Vol.
33%
26°C
$1,210 Vol.
42%
27°C
$339 Vol.
12%
28°C
$69 Vol.
3%
29°C
$167 Vol.
1%
30°C oder höher
$252 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's elevated subtropical highland location at roughly 2,240 meters limits daytime heating during the August rainy season, with official SMN forecasts for August 18 projecting a maximum of 25–28°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers. Afternoon convection and reduced insolation from thickening cumulus typically cap temperatures near the seasonal average of 24°C, creating tight uncertainty between 25°C and 26°C outcomes that dominate trader consensus. Minor differences hinge on exact timing of any showers, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiation reaching the surface before convective inhibition sets in. Updated model guidance or real-time station observations from the central valley could quickly shift implied probabilities if skies clear earlier than expected or if stronger thunderstorm activity develops.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volumen
$4,048Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's elevated subtropical highland location at roughly 2,240 meters limits daytime heating during the August rainy season, with official SMN forecasts for August 18 projecting a maximum of 25–28°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers. Afternoon convection and reduced insolation from thickening cumulus typically cap temperatures near the seasonal average of 24°C, creating tight uncertainty between 25°C and 26°C outcomes that dominate trader consensus. Minor differences hinge on exact timing of any showers, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiation reaching the surface before convective inhibition sets in. Updated model guidance or real-time station observations from the central valley could quickly shift implied probabilities if skies clear earlier than expected or if stronger thunderstorm activity develops.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,048Enddatum
18. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's elevated subtropical highland location at roughly 2,240 meters limits daytime heating during the August rainy season, with official SMN forecasts for August 18 projecting a maximum of 25–28°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers. Afternoon convection and reduced insolation from thickening cumulus typically cap temperatures near the seasonal average of 24°C, creating tight uncertainty between 25°C and 26°C outcomes that dominate trader consensus. Minor differences hinge on exact timing of any showers, boundary-layer moisture, and shortwave radiation reaching the surface before convective inhibition sets in. Updated model guidance or real-time station observations from the central valley could quickly shift implied probabilities if skies clear earlier than expected or if stronger thunderstorm activity develops.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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