**Recent weather model consensus positions 23–24°C as the most likely range for Munich’s daily maximum on September 1, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 44.5%, 23°C at 28.5%).** Official short-range guidance from sources such as WeatherBug, globalmeteo, and Yr.no shows a high near 22–24°C (roughly 72–75°F) under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This reflects a post-frontal clearing pattern after possible showers or thunderstorms on August 31, as a moderate westerly flow replaces the warmer late-August air mass. Climatologically, the long-term average high for September 1 in Munich is 22.2°C, so current forecasts sit slightly above normal but well below record territory (all-time high 31.8°C). No strong high-pressure ridge or southerly advection is expected to push values to 25°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points that could shift the 23–24°C cluster if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing change.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 1. September?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 1. September?
24°C 45%
23°C 29%
25°C 16%
22°C 8%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
29%
24°C
45%
25°C
16%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 29%
25°C 16%
22°C 8%
NEU
NEU
1. Sep. 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$45 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C
$131 Vol.
8%
23°C
$554 Vol.
29%
24°C
$728 Vol.
45%
25°C
$102 Vol.
16%
26°C
$30 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent weather model consensus positions 23–24°C as the most likely range for Munich’s daily maximum on September 1, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 44.5%, 23°C at 28.5%).**
Official short-range guidance from sources such as WeatherBug, globalmeteo, and Yr.no shows a high near 22–24°C (roughly 72–75°F) under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This reflects a post-frontal clearing pattern after possible showers or thunderstorms on August 31, as a moderate westerly flow replaces the warmer late-August air mass.
Climatologically, the long-term average high for September 1 in Munich is 22.2°C, so current forecasts sit slightly above normal but well below record territory (all-time high 31.8°C). No strong high-pressure ridge or southerly advection is expected to push values to 25°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points that could shift the 23–24°C cluster if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,590Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent weather model consensus positions 23–24°C as the most likely range for Munich’s daily maximum on September 1, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 44.5%, 23°C at 28.5%).**
Official short-range guidance from sources such as WeatherBug, globalmeteo, and Yr.no shows a high near 22–24°C (roughly 72–75°F) under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This reflects a post-frontal clearing pattern after possible showers or thunderstorms on August 31, as a moderate westerly flow replaces the warmer late-August air mass.
Climatologically, the long-term average high for September 1 in Munich is 22.2°C, so current forecasts sit slightly above normal but well below record territory (all-time high 31.8°C). No strong high-pressure ridge or southerly advection is expected to push values to 25°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points that could shift the 23–24°C cluster if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,590Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Recent weather model consensus positions 23–24°C as the most likely range for Munich’s daily maximum on September 1, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (24°C at 44.5%, 23°C at 28.5%).** Official short-range guidance from sources such as WeatherBug, globalmeteo, and Yr.no shows a high near 22–24°C (roughly 72–75°F) under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This reflects a post-frontal clearing pattern after possible showers or thunderstorms on August 31, as a moderate westerly flow replaces the warmer late-August air mass. Climatologically, the long-term average high for September 1 in Munich is 22.2°C, so current forecasts sit slightly above normal but well below record territory (all-time high 31.8°C). No strong high-pressure ridge or southerly advection is expected to push values to 25°C or higher, keeping those outcomes at lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will be the key data points that could shift the 23–24°C cluster if steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing change.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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