Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a daytime maximum of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 5 amid persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and possible thunderstorms, with southwesterly winds shifting westerly. These conditions align with the market's heavy weighting toward 18°C (52.5% implied probability) and 19°C (30.5%), as precipitation and limited solar heating suppress warming below historical averages near 18.5°C. Latest model consensus and real-time observations show temperatures peaking in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, with minimal risk of reaching 20°C or higher given the atmospheric setup. Updated guidance through the day will refine exact peak readings for market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 5. September?
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
20°C 10%
17°C 1.7%
$24,762 Vol.
$24,762 Vol.
13°C oder darunter
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
54%
19°C
32%
20°C
10%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 54%
19°C 32%
20°C 10%
17°C 1.7%
$24,762 Vol.
$24,762 Vol.
13°C oder darunter
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
54%
19°C
32%
20°C
10%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a daytime maximum of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 5 amid persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and possible thunderstorms, with southwesterly winds shifting westerly. These conditions align with the market's heavy weighting toward 18°C (52.5% implied probability) and 19°C (30.5%), as precipitation and limited solar heating suppress warming below historical averages near 18.5°C. Latest model consensus and real-time observations show temperatures peaking in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, with minimal risk of reaching 20°C or higher given the atmospheric setup. Updated guidance through the day will refine exact peak readings for market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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