Current forecast models from meteorological services indicate a peak temperature near 27°C for Moscow on August 1, 2026, under typical late-summer continental conditions with moderate high pressure and limited cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market's leading 55% implied probability for 27°C and 21% for 28°C, reflecting model consensus on daytime maxima in the upper 20s Celsius amid seasonal averages of 21–24°C. Minor variations in steering winds or localized heating could shift the outcome toward 26°C or 29°C, though no major synoptic changes appear imminent. Updated observational data and final daily readings will resolve the market as the day concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 1. August?
27°C 55%
28°C 21%
26°C 14%
29°C 9%
$23,495 Vol.
$23,495 Vol.
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
14%
27°C
55%
28°C
21%
29°C
9%
30°C oder höher
1%
27°C 55%
28°C 21%
26°C 14%
29°C 9%
$23,495 Vol.
$23,495 Vol.
20°C oder darunter
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
14%
27°C
55%
28°C
21%
29°C
9%
30°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 30, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from meteorological services indicate a peak temperature near 27°C for Moscow on August 1, 2026, under typical late-summer continental conditions with moderate high pressure and limited cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with the market's leading 55% implied probability for 27°C and 21% for 28°C, reflecting model consensus on daytime maxima in the upper 20s Celsius amid seasonal averages of 21–24°C. Minor variations in steering winds or localized heating could shift the outcome toward 26°C or 29°C, though no major synoptic changes appear imminent. Updated observational data and final daily readings will resolve the market as the day concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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