Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies point to a peak of 36–37°C in Milan on August 5 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and subsidence warming across the Po Valley, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for 36°C and 26.5% for 37°C. Light southwesterly winds and urban heat island effects in the city center could add 1–2°C locally, while historical August maxima near 30°C underscore the elevated readings amid broader European warmth this summer. Official observations from regional networks will resolve the market, with minor model variability in boundary-layer heating offering limited upside for 38°C or higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mailand am 5. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mailand am 5. August?
36°C 52%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
38°C 6%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
33°C or below
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
17%
36°C
52%
37°C
27%
38°C
6%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 52%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
38°C 6%
NEU
NEU
5. Aug. 2026
33°C or below
$453 Vol.
2%
34°C
$322 Vol.
3%
35°C
$930 Vol.
17%
36°C
$574 Vol.
52%
37°C
$578 Vol.
27%
38°C
$141 Vol.
6%
39°C
$41 Vol.
2%
40°C
$155 Vol.
1%
41°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$149 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$443 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies point to a peak of 36–37°C in Milan on August 5 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and subsidence warming across the Po Valley, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for 36°C and 26.5% for 37°C. Light southwesterly winds and urban heat island effects in the city center could add 1–2°C locally, while historical August maxima near 30°C underscore the elevated readings amid broader European warmth this summer. Official observations from regional networks will resolve the market, with minor model variability in boundary-layer heating offering limited upside for 38°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$3,894Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies point to a peak of 36–37°C in Milan on August 5 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and subsidence warming across the Po Valley, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for 36°C and 26.5% for 37°C. Light southwesterly winds and urban heat island effects in the city center could add 1–2°C locally, while historical August maxima near 30°C underscore the elevated readings amid broader European warmth this summer. Official observations from regional networks will resolve the market, with minor model variability in boundary-layer heating offering limited upside for 38°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,894Enddatum
5. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies point to a peak of 36–37°C in Milan on August 5 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and subsidence warming across the Po Valley, aligning with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for 36°C and 26.5% for 37°C. Light southwesterly winds and urban heat island effects in the city center could add 1–2°C locally, while historical August maxima near 30°C underscore the elevated readings amid broader European warmth this summer. Official observations from regional networks will resolve the market, with minor model variability in boundary-layer heating offering limited upside for 38°C or higher.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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