Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico point to a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 14 likely falling between 24–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typical of the North American monsoon season limit solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, while urban heat island effects and variable wind patterns introduce modest uncertainty. Historical August averages hover near 24°C, with convective activity often capping daily maxima below seasonal peaks. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market as atmospheric conditions evolve.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 14. August?
25°C 35%
26°C 26%
24°C 24%
27°C 7%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
24%
25°C
35%
26°C
26%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C oder höher
1%
25°C 35%
26°C 26%
24°C 24%
27°C 7%
NEU
NEU
14. Aug. 2026
19°C oder niedriger
$108 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$430 Vol.
1%
22°C
$225 Vol.
6%
23°C
$225 Vol.
6%
24°C
$83 Vol.
24%
25°C
$98 Vol.
35%
26°C
$52 Vol.
26%
27°C
$38 Vol.
7%
28°C
$66 Vol.
1%
29°C oder höher
$89 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico point to a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 14 likely falling between 24–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typical of the North American monsoon season limit solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, while urban heat island effects and variable wind patterns introduce modest uncertainty. Historical August averages hover near 24°C, with convective activity often capping daily maxima below seasonal peaks. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market as atmospheric conditions evolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$1,459Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico point to a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 14 likely falling between 24–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typical of the North American monsoon season limit solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, while urban heat island effects and variable wind patterns introduce modest uncertainty. Historical August averages hover near 24°C, with convective activity often capping daily maxima below seasonal peaks. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market as atmospheric conditions evolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,459Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico point to a highest temperature in Mexico City on August 14 likely falling between 24–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typical of the North American monsoon season limit solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, while urban heat island effects and variable wind patterns introduce modest uncertainty. Historical August averages hover near 24°C, with convective activity often capping daily maxima below seasonal peaks. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the market as atmospheric conditions evolve.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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