Official Met Office forecasts indicate peak temperatures near 32°C across London on August 9 under fine, dry, and settled high-pressure conditions with warm air advection from the south, following a broader warm spell that has kept much of southern England above seasonal averages. Recent model consensus and observational trends support a narrow range around 30–32°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 31°C (36.5%) and 30°C (26.5%), while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges and the moderating influence of urban versus rural measurement sites. No major short-term shifts from new data have altered this positioning ahead of the weekend.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in London am 9. August?
Höchste Temperatur in London am 9. August?
31°C 37%
30°C 26%
32°C 19%
33°C 10%
NEU
NEU
9. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
26%
31°C
37%
32°C
19%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
30°C 26%
32°C 19%
33°C 10%
NEU
NEU
9. Aug. 2026
26°C or below
$68 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$38 Vol.
2%
28°C
$442 Vol.
4%
29°C
$351 Vol.
8%
30°C
$232 Vol.
26%
31°C
$391 Vol.
37%
32°C
$110 Vol.
19%
33°C
$61 Vol.
10%
34°C
$388 Vol.
2%
35°C
$84 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts indicate peak temperatures near 32°C across London on August 9 under fine, dry, and settled high-pressure conditions with warm air advection from the south, following a broader warm spell that has kept much of southern England above seasonal averages. Recent model consensus and observational trends support a narrow range around 30–32°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 31°C (36.5%) and 30°C (26.5%), while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges and the moderating influence of urban versus rural measurement sites. No major short-term shifts from new data have altered this positioning ahead of the weekend.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$2,306Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts indicate peak temperatures near 32°C across London on August 9 under fine, dry, and settled high-pressure conditions with warm air advection from the south, following a broader warm spell that has kept much of southern England above seasonal averages. Recent model consensus and observational trends support a narrow range around 30–32°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 31°C (36.5%) and 30°C (26.5%), while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges and the moderating influence of urban versus rural measurement sites. No major short-term shifts from new data have altered this positioning ahead of the weekend.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,306Enddatum
9. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office forecasts indicate peak temperatures near 32°C across London on August 9 under fine, dry, and settled high-pressure conditions with warm air advection from the south, following a broader warm spell that has kept much of southern England above seasonal averages. Recent model consensus and observational trends support a narrow range around 30–32°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 31°C (36.5%) and 30°C (26.5%), while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges and the moderating influence of urban versus rural measurement sites. No major short-term shifts from new data have altered this positioning ahead of the weekend.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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