Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate afternoon highs in Shenzhen on August 9 will likely peak between 35–37 °C amid typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover. Recent runs show modest cooling from scattered afternoon convection and possible sea-breeze influence, keeping the most probable outcome near 36 °C while leaving room for 35 °C or 37 °C depending on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August maxima average near 32 °C, but current warmth and urban heat-island effects support the market’s tight clustering around these three values ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 9. August?
36°C 33%
35°C 25%
37°C 25%
38°C 10%
30°C oder darunter
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
8%
35°C
25%
36°C
33%
37°C
25%
38°C
10%
39°C
3%
40°C oder höher
<1%
36°C 33%
35°C 25%
37°C 25%
38°C 10%
30°C oder darunter
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
8%
35°C
25%
36°C
33%
37°C
25%
38°C
10%
39°C
3%
40°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate afternoon highs in Shenzhen on August 9 will likely peak between 35–37 °C amid typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover. Recent runs show modest cooling from scattered afternoon convection and possible sea-breeze influence, keeping the most probable outcome near 36 °C while leaving room for 35 °C or 37 °C depending on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August maxima average near 32 °C, but current warmth and urban heat-island effects support the market’s tight clustering around these three values ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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