National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate Houston highs on August 4 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 90s after several days of peak summer heat. A subtle frontal boundary and increased Gulf moisture are moderating temperatures via enhanced sea-breeze circulation, preventing the triple-digit readings seen earlier in the week. Historical August climatology for Houston Intercontinental Airport centers around 94–96°F, providing a baseline that aligns with current guidance. Trader positioning in the 96–97°F bin reflects this model consensus, with lower odds on 98°F+ outcomes tied to lingering uncertainty in exact timing of any convective cooling or wind shifts before peak afternoon heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 4. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 4. August?
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 30%
98-99°F 13%
92-93°F 5.3%
NEU
$13,790 Vol.
NEU
$13,790 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
87°F oder darunter
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
54%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F oder höher
<1%
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 30%
98-99°F 13%
92-93°F 5.3%
NEU
$13,790 Vol.
NEU
$13,790 Vol.
4. Aug. 2026
87°F oder darunter
$307 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$357 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$547 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$1,266 Vol.
5%
94-95°F
$3,385 Vol.
30%
96-97°F
$3,165 Vol.
54%
98-99°F
$2,596 Vol.
13%
100-101°F
$747 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$330 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$498 Vol.
<1%
106°F oder höher
$592 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate Houston highs on August 4 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 90s after several days of peak summer heat. A subtle frontal boundary and increased Gulf moisture are moderating temperatures via enhanced sea-breeze circulation, preventing the triple-digit readings seen earlier in the week. Historical August climatology for Houston Intercontinental Airport centers around 94–96°F, providing a baseline that aligns with current guidance. Trader positioning in the 96–97°F bin reflects this model consensus, with lower odds on 98°F+ outcomes tied to lingering uncertainty in exact timing of any convective cooling or wind shifts before peak afternoon heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$13,790Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate Houston highs on August 4 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 90s after several days of peak summer heat. A subtle frontal boundary and increased Gulf moisture are moderating temperatures via enhanced sea-breeze circulation, preventing the triple-digit readings seen earlier in the week. Historical August climatology for Houston Intercontinental Airport centers around 94–96°F, providing a baseline that aligns with current guidance. Trader positioning in the 96–97°F bin reflects this model consensus, with lower odds on 98°F+ outcomes tied to lingering uncertainty in exact timing of any convective cooling or wind shifts before peak afternoon heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,790Enddatum
4. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate Houston highs on August 4 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 90s after several days of peak summer heat. A subtle frontal boundary and increased Gulf moisture are moderating temperatures via enhanced sea-breeze circulation, preventing the triple-digit readings seen earlier in the week. Historical August climatology for Houston Intercontinental Airport centers around 94–96°F, providing a baseline that aligns with current guidance. Trader positioning in the 96–97°F bin reflects this model consensus, with lower odds on 98°F+ outcomes tied to lingering uncertainty in exact timing of any convective cooling or wind shifts before peak afternoon heating.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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