**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by a fresh polar air mass and strong southwesterly winds are positioning 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 5, 2026.** Multiple forecast models, including those referenced by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources, converge on a high near 12–13°C (roughly 54°F) under clear to partly cloudy skies, with brisk winds limiting daytime warming. This represents a notable departure from the month’s climatological average maximum of around 19–20°C. Recent observations confirm the arrival of cooler air following a frontal passage, with overnight lows dropping into the single digits and limited cloud cover allowing efficient radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 13°C (61.5% implied probability) and secondary support at 12°C and 14°C, aligns closely with this model agreement, while lower-probability outcomes above 15°C or below 11°C remain remote given the stable synoptic pattern and absence of warmer advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will provide final confirmation for market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 5. September?
13°C 62%
12°C 18%
14°C 17%
11°C 4%
7°C oder darunter
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
18%
13°C
62%
14°C
17%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C oder höher
2%
13°C 62%
12°C 18%
14°C 17%
11°C 4%
7°C oder darunter
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
18%
13°C
62%
14°C
17%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Cooler-than-average conditions driven by a fresh polar air mass and strong southwesterly winds are positioning 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 5, 2026.** Multiple forecast models, including those referenced by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources, converge on a high near 12–13°C (roughly 54°F) under clear to partly cloudy skies, with brisk winds limiting daytime warming. This represents a notable departure from the month’s climatological average maximum of around 19–20°C. Recent observations confirm the arrival of cooler air following a frontal passage, with overnight lows dropping into the single digits and limited cloud cover allowing efficient radiative cooling. Trader consensus, reflected in the market’s heavy weighting toward 13°C (61.5% implied probability) and secondary support at 12°C and 14°C, aligns closely with this model agreement, while lower-probability outcomes above 15°C or below 11°C remain remote given the stable synoptic pattern and absence of warmer advection. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will provide final confirmation for market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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