Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicate a maximum of 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, with periods of strong storms, northerly then southerly winds, and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 15°C (37.5%), as cooler advection and reduced insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter suppress readings below the month’s typical 15–17°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential absent clearer skies, with traders incorporating verified observational baselines and resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 6. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 6. August?
14°C 56%
15°C 38%
16°C 8%
17°C <1%
NEU
$17,562 Vol.
NEU
$17,562 Vol.
6. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
56%
15°C
38%
16°C
8%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 56%
15°C 38%
16°C 8%
17°C <1%
NEU
$17,562 Vol.
NEU
$17,562 Vol.
6. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
$256 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$256 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,293 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$6,133 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$5,157 Vol.
56%
15°C
$2,178 Vol.
38%
16°C
$901 Vol.
8%
17°C
$344 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$274 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicate a maximum of 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, with periods of strong storms, northerly then southerly winds, and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 15°C (37.5%), as cooler advection and reduced insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter suppress readings below the month’s typical 15–17°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential absent clearer skies, with traders incorporating verified observational baselines and resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$17,562Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicate a maximum of 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, with periods of strong storms, northerly then southerly winds, and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 15°C (37.5%), as cooler advection and reduced insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter suppress readings below the month’s typical 15–17°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential absent clearer skies, with traders incorporating verified observational baselines and resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17,562Enddatum
6. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) indicate a maximum of 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 6, with periods of strong storms, northerly then southerly winds, and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 15°C (37.5%), as cooler advection and reduced insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter suppress readings below the month’s typical 15–17°C climatological average. Recent model consensus shows limited upward revision potential absent clearer skies, with traders incorporating verified observational baselines and resolution thresholds tied to official station measurements.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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