Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 14°C maximum in Buenos Aires today because official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and major global models converge on a narrow range centered there. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and an easterly flow off the cooler South Atlantic have limited daytime warming, keeping surface temperatures below seasonal averages near 15–17°C. Current observations around 11–12°C mid-morning align with this trajectory, while model consensus shows limited upside potential absent rapid clearing. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by SMN stations, with the 13–14°C outcomes reflecting the tightest clustering of available guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 14. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 14. August?
14°C 61%
13°C 22%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
$18,116 Vol.
$18,116 Vol.
14. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
22%
14°C
61%
15°C
14%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 61%
13°C 22%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
$18,116 Vol.
$18,116 Vol.
14. Aug. 2026
9°C or below
$595 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$920 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,070 Vol.
3%
13°C
$5,378 Vol.
22%
14°C
$4,446 Vol.
61%
15°C
$2,598 Vol.
14%
16°C
$980 Vol.
2%
17°C
$816 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$954 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$102 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 14°C maximum in Buenos Aires today because official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and major global models converge on a narrow range centered there. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and an easterly flow off the cooler South Atlantic have limited daytime warming, keeping surface temperatures below seasonal averages near 15–17°C. Current observations around 11–12°C mid-morning align with this trajectory, while model consensus shows limited upside potential absent rapid clearing. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by SMN stations, with the 13–14°C outcomes reflecting the tightest clustering of available guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$18,116Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 14°C maximum in Buenos Aires today because official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and major global models converge on a narrow range centered there. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and an easterly flow off the cooler South Atlantic have limited daytime warming, keeping surface temperatures below seasonal averages near 15–17°C. Current observations around 11–12°C mid-morning align with this trajectory, while model consensus shows limited upside potential absent rapid clearing. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by SMN stations, with the 13–14°C outcomes reflecting the tightest clustering of available guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$18,116Enddatum
14. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability to a 14°C maximum in Buenos Aires today because official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and major global models converge on a narrow range centered there. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and an easterly flow off the cooler South Atlantic have limited daytime warming, keeping surface temperatures below seasonal averages near 15–17°C. Current observations around 11–12°C mid-morning align with this trajectory, while model consensus shows limited upside potential absent rapid clearing. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by SMN stations, with the 13–14°C outcomes reflecting the tightest clustering of available guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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