Forecast consensus from NOAA and AccuWeather models positions 100-101°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 12 high, reflecting a strong subtropical ridge sustaining mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover that maximizes solar radiative heating. Late-summer soil moisture and humidity levels are curbing evaporative cooling, consistent with recent triple-digit observations and the market’s 66% implied probability for that bin. Secondary support for 102-103°F (18%) arises from potential model spread in peak heating, while lower ranges like 98-99°F (16.5%) would require unexpected afternoon moisture or wind shifts. Resolution hinges on official Camp Mabry readings, with no major synoptic changes expected before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 12. August?
100-101°F 66%
102-103°F 18%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 2.0%
NEU
$14,727 Vol.
NEU
$14,727 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
91°F oder weniger
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
66%
102-103°F
18%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F oder höher
<1%
100-101°F 66%
102-103°F 18%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 2.0%
NEU
$14,727 Vol.
NEU
$14,727 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
91°F oder weniger
$610 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,739 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$2,718 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$748 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$1,290 Vol.
16%
100-101°F
$2,894 Vol.
66%
102-103°F
$1,271 Vol.
18%
104-105°F
$1,005 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$389 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$504 Vol.
<1%
110°F oder höher
$559 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from NOAA and AccuWeather models positions 100-101°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 12 high, reflecting a strong subtropical ridge sustaining mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover that maximizes solar radiative heating. Late-summer soil moisture and humidity levels are curbing evaporative cooling, consistent with recent triple-digit observations and the market’s 66% implied probability for that bin. Secondary support for 102-103°F (18%) arises from potential model spread in peak heating, while lower ranges like 98-99°F (16.5%) would require unexpected afternoon moisture or wind shifts. Resolution hinges on official Camp Mabry readings, with no major synoptic changes expected before sunset.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$14,727Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from NOAA and AccuWeather models positions 100-101°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 12 high, reflecting a strong subtropical ridge sustaining mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover that maximizes solar radiative heating. Late-summer soil moisture and humidity levels are curbing evaporative cooling, consistent with recent triple-digit observations and the market’s 66% implied probability for that bin. Secondary support for 102-103°F (18%) arises from potential model spread in peak heating, while lower ranges like 98-99°F (16.5%) would require unexpected afternoon moisture or wind shifts. Resolution hinges on official Camp Mabry readings, with no major synoptic changes expected before sunset.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,727Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from NOAA and AccuWeather models positions 100-101°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 12 high, reflecting a strong subtropical ridge sustaining mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and limited cloud cover that maximizes solar radiative heating. Late-summer soil moisture and humidity levels are curbing evaporative cooling, consistent with recent triple-digit observations and the market’s 66% implied probability for that bin. Secondary support for 102-103°F (18%) arises from potential model spread in peak heating, while lower ranges like 98-99°F (16.5%) would require unexpected afternoon moisture or wind shifts. Resolution hinges on official Camp Mabry readings, with no major synoptic changes expected before sunset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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