**Traders assign a 91% probability against congressional approval of any Iran deal in 2026 because no final agreement has emerged from the June memorandum of understanding, and deep partisan divisions persist on Capitol Hill.** A U.S.-Iran MOU signed in mid-June launched a 60-day negotiation window for nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and reconstruction funding, but the period ended without a comprehensive pact. Under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, any nuclear-related accord would require formal transmittal to Congress for review and possible disapproval. Bipartisan skepticism—evident in the Senate’s June war-powers resolution curbing further military action and Republican concerns over sanctions easing and funding—has blocked momentum. Ongoing disputes over inspections, sanctions compliance, and regional issues into early September have kept talks stalled, leaving no text or timeline for lawmakers to consider before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
9% Chance
$13,118 Vol.
$13,118 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
9% Chance
$13,118 Vol.
$13,118 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Traders assign a 91% probability against congressional approval of any Iran deal in 2026 because no final agreement has emerged from the June memorandum of understanding, and deep partisan divisions persist on Capitol Hill.**
A U.S.-Iran MOU signed in mid-June launched a 60-day negotiation window for nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and reconstruction funding, but the period ended without a comprehensive pact. Under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, any nuclear-related accord would require formal transmittal to Congress for review and possible disapproval. Bipartisan skepticism—evident in the Senate’s June war-powers resolution curbing further military action and Republican concerns over sanctions easing and funding—has blocked momentum. Ongoing disputes over inspections, sanctions compliance, and regional issues into early September have kept talks stalled, leaving no text or timeline for lawmakers to consider before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Volumen
$13,118Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Traders assign a 91% probability against congressional approval of any Iran deal in 2026 because no final agreement has emerged from the June memorandum of understanding, and deep partisan divisions persist on Capitol Hill.**
A U.S.-Iran MOU signed in mid-June launched a 60-day negotiation window for nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and reconstruction funding, but the period ended without a comprehensive pact. Under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, any nuclear-related accord would require formal transmittal to Congress for review and possible disapproval. Bipartisan skepticism—evident in the Senate’s June war-powers resolution curbing further military action and Republican concerns over sanctions easing and funding—has blocked momentum. Ongoing disputes over inspections, sanctions compliance, and regional issues into early September have kept talks stalled, leaving no text or timeline for lawmakers to consider before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$13,118Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign a 91% probability against congressional approval of any Iran deal in 2026 because no final agreement has emerged from the June memorandum of understanding, and deep partisan divisions persist on Capitol Hill.** A U.S.-Iran MOU signed in mid-June launched a 60-day negotiation window for nuclear limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and reconstruction funding, but the period ended without a comprehensive pact. Under the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, any nuclear-related accord would require formal transmittal to Congress for review and possible disapproval. Bipartisan skepticism—evident in the Senate’s June war-powers resolution curbing further military action and Republican concerns over sanctions easing and funding—has blocked momentum. Ongoing disputes over inspections, sanctions compliance, and regional issues into early September have kept talks stalled, leaving no text or timeline for lawmakers to consider before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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