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icon for Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien
Politik·US-Wahl

Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien

icon for Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien
Politik·US-Wahl

Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Nov. 3

Ja

0% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

0% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 41, which mandates pre-election and recurring State Auditor reviews of programs funded by new special taxes while barring their exclusion from the Gann spending limit, sits near even odds ahead of the November 3, 2026 ballot. Its slim yes edge reflects voter interest in added accountability and cost evaluations for restricted revenues, offset by concerns that the requirements could limit future fiscal flexibility amid competing tax measures. The initiative qualified in late June as a direct counter to the billionaire wealth tax proposal, drawing support from business and donor interests focused on protecting personal assets and spending caps. With multiple overlapping propositions on the same ballot, outcomes hinge on relative campaign spending, turnout among fiscal conservatives versus public-service advocates, and any late shifts in broader economic sentiment or endorsements before election day.

Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volumen
$1,079
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California Proposition 41, which mandates pre-election and recurring State Auditor reviews of programs funded by new special taxes while barring their exclusion from the Gann spending limit, sits near even odds ahead of the November 3, 2026 ballot. Its slim yes edge reflects voter interest in added accountability and cost evaluations for restricted revenues, offset by concerns that the requirements could limit future fiscal flexibility amid competing tax measures. The initiative qualified in late June as a direct counter to the billionaire wealth tax proposal, drawing support from business and donor interests focused on protecting personal assets and spending caps. With multiple overlapping propositions on the same ballot, outcomes hinge on relative campaign spending, turnout among fiscal conservatives versus public-service advocates, and any late shifts in broader economic sentiment or endorsements before election day.

Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).Proposition 41 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would audit new tax spending and ban new taxes from being exempt from the state spending cap, which would offset the proposed wealth tax in Proposition 40. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volumen
$1,079
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 1, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for Kalifornische Rückwirkende Steuerverbots-Initiative

Kalifornische Rückwirkende Steuerverbots-Initiative

47%
Ja
icon for Kalifornische Vermögenssteuer besiegt gegnerische Vorschläge?

Kalifornische Vermögenssteuer besiegt gegnerische Vorschläge?

41%
Ja
icon for Kalifornische Volksabstimmung zur öffentlichen Wahlkampffinanzierung

Kalifornische Volksabstimmung zur öffentlichen Wahlkampffinanzierung

44%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Kalifornische Steuer-Ausgabeprüfungs-Initiative" mit 56%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 56¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 56% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 1, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien" ist „Kalifornische Steuer-Ausgabeprüfungs-Initiative" mit 56%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 56% zuweist. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Prüfungsvorschlag für Steuerausgaben in Kalifornien" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.