**Trader sentiment reflects a tight race among frontier AI labs for leadership on Text Arena's math category by end-November, with Anthropic holding the highest implied probability at 50% amid a crowded field where most named competitors sit near or below 25%.** Recent benchmark data from platforms like lmarena and BenchLM show Anthropic's latest Claude variants (including Opus 4.8 and Fable series) frequently topping or near the top of math-specific arenas and weighted reasoning scores, driven by strong results on AIME, USAMO, and FrontierMath evaluations that emphasize multi-step competition problems. Close challengers include Moonshot's Kimi K2.6 models, Z.ai's GLM-5 series, Alibaba's Qwen variants, and OpenAI's GPT-5.x releases, which have posted leading or near-leading scores on subsets of these benchmarks in September 2026 updates. The even odds capture ongoing model iteration cycles, cost-performance tradeoffs for open-weight entries, and the potential for rapid shifts from new releases or arena-specific updates before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAnthropic 27%
Google 26%
Z.ai 26%
MiniMax 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
27%
26%
Z.ai
26%
MiniMax
26%
Meituan
26%
ByteDance
26%
Mistral
26%
SpaceXAI
26%
Baidu
26%
Xiaomi
26%
Meta
26%
StepFun
26%
Thinky
26%
Nvidia
25%
Amazon
25%
Tencent
25%
OpenAI
14%
Moonshot
14%
Microsoft
14%
DeepSeek
14%
Alibaba
13%
Anthropic 27%
Google 26%
Z.ai 26%
MiniMax 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$0 Vol.
27%
$0 Vol.
26%
Z.ai
$0 Vol.
26%
MiniMax
$0 Vol.
26%
Meituan
$0 Vol.
26%
ByteDance
$0 Vol.
26%
Mistral
$0 Vol.
26%
SpaceXAI
$0 Vol.
26%
Baidu
$0 Vol.
26%
Xiaomi
$0 Vol.
26%
Meta
$0 Vol.
26%
StepFun
$0 Vol.
26%
Thinky
$0 Vol.
26%
Nvidia
$0 Vol.
25%
Amazon
$0 Vol.
25%
Tencent
$0 Vol.
25%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
14%
Moonshot
$0 Vol.
14%
Microsoft
$0 Vol.
14%
DeepSeek
$0 Vol.
14%
Alibaba
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Trader sentiment reflects a tight race among frontier AI labs for leadership on Text Arena's math category by end-November, with Anthropic holding the highest implied probability at 50% amid a crowded field where most named competitors sit near or below 25%.** Recent benchmark data from platforms like lmarena and BenchLM show Anthropic's latest Claude variants (including Opus 4.8 and Fable series) frequently topping or near the top of math-specific arenas and weighted reasoning scores, driven by strong results on AIME, USAMO, and FrontierMath evaluations that emphasize multi-step competition problems. Close challengers include Moonshot's Kimi K2.6 models, Z.ai's GLM-5 series, Alibaba's Qwen variants, and OpenAI's GPT-5.x releases, which have posted leading or near-leading scores on subsets of these benchmarks in September 2026 updates. The even odds capture ongoing model iteration cycles, cost-performance tradeoffs for open-weight entries, and the potential for rapid shifts from new releases or arena-specific updates before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Dec 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Trader sentiment reflects a tight race among frontier AI labs for leadership on Text Arena's math category by end-November, with Anthropic holding the highest implied probability at 50% amid a crowded field where most named competitors sit near or below 25%.** Recent benchmark data from platforms like lmarena and BenchLM show Anthropic's latest Claude variants (including Opus 4.8 and Fable series) frequently topping or near the top of math-specific arenas and weighted reasoning scores, driven by strong results on AIME, USAMO, and FrontierMath evaluations that emphasize multi-step competition problems. Close challengers include Moonshot's Kimi K2.6 models, Z.ai's GLM-5 series, Alibaba's Qwen variants, and OpenAI's GPT-5.x releases, which have posted leading or near-leading scores on subsets of these benchmarks in September 2026 updates. The even odds capture ongoing model iteration cycles, cost-performance tradeoffs for open-weight entries, and the potential for rapid shifts from new releases or arena-specific updates before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Dec 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment reflects a tight race among frontier AI labs for leadership on Text Arena's math category by end-November, with Anthropic holding the highest implied probability at 50% amid a crowded field where most named competitors sit near or below 25%.** Recent benchmark data from platforms like lmarena and BenchLM show Anthropic's latest Claude variants (including Opus 4.8 and Fable series) frequently topping or near the top of math-specific arenas and weighted reasoning scores, driven by strong results on AIME, USAMO, and FrontierMath evaluations that emphasize multi-step competition problems. Close challengers include Moonshot's Kimi K2.6 models, Z.ai's GLM-5 series, Alibaba's Qwen variants, and OpenAI's GPT-5.x releases, which have posted leading or near-leading scores on subsets of these benchmarks in September 2026 updates. The even odds capture ongoing model iteration cycles, cost-performance tradeoffs for open-weight entries, and the potential for rapid shifts from new releases or arena-specific updates before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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