Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability due to its consistent frontier performance across 2026 benchmarks, including top scores on SWE-bench Verified for coding and strong results on GPQA and agentic tasks with models like Claude Opus 4.7, 4.8, and the limited Mythos series. Recent releases emphasizing reliable long-horizon planning, tool use, and multimodal capabilities have reinforced its edge over competitors, while safety-focused development and enterprise partnerships align with market preferences for production-ready systems. xAI's Grok 4.6 update in August, targeting long-running agents, supports its 13.2% share, but trails in key verified benchmarks; OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and Google's Gemini remain competitive in multimodal workflows yet lag the leader on coding and reasoning metrics heading into year-end resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAnthropic 67%
xAI 13.1%
OpenAI 9%
Google 6%
$711,385 Vol.
$711,385 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Anthropic
67%
xAI
13%
OpenAI
9%
6%
Meta
3%
Moonshot
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Alibaba
1%
Z.ai
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 67%
xAI 13.1%
OpenAI 9%
Google 6%
$711,385 Vol.
$711,385 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Anthropic
$78,985 Vol.
67%
xAI
$56,307 Vol.
13%
OpenAI
$58,373 Vol.
9%
$38,440 Vol.
6%
Meta
$48,160 Vol.
3%
Moonshot
$52,420 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$50,434 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$44,616 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$46,081 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$55,570 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$36,846 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$40,377 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$35,992 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$31,676 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$37,108 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability due to its consistent frontier performance across 2026 benchmarks, including top scores on SWE-bench Verified for coding and strong results on GPQA and agentic tasks with models like Claude Opus 4.7, 4.8, and the limited Mythos series. Recent releases emphasizing reliable long-horizon planning, tool use, and multimodal capabilities have reinforced its edge over competitors, while safety-focused development and enterprise partnerships align with market preferences for production-ready systems. xAI's Grok 4.6 update in August, targeting long-running agents, supports its 13.2% share, but trails in key verified benchmarks; OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and Google's Gemini remain competitive in multimodal workflows yet lag the leader on coding and reasoning metrics heading into year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
ভলিউম
$711,385শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability due to its consistent frontier performance across 2026 benchmarks, including top scores on SWE-bench Verified for coding and strong results on GPQA and agentic tasks with models like Claude Opus 4.7, 4.8, and the limited Mythos series. Recent releases emphasizing reliable long-horizon planning, tool use, and multimodal capabilities have reinforced its edge over competitors, while safety-focused development and enterprise partnerships align with market preferences for production-ready systems. xAI's Grok 4.6 update in August, targeting long-running agents, supports its 13.2% share, but trails in key verified benchmarks; OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and Google's Gemini remain competitive in multimodal workflows yet lag the leader on coding and reasoning metrics heading into year-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ভলিউম
$711,385শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 66.5% implied probability due to its consistent frontier performance across 2026 benchmarks, including top scores on SWE-bench Verified for coding and strong results on GPQA and agentic tasks with models like Claude Opus 4.7, 4.8, and the limited Mythos series. Recent releases emphasizing reliable long-horizon planning, tool use, and multimodal capabilities have reinforced its edge over competitors, while safety-focused development and enterprise partnerships align with market preferences for production-ready systems. xAI's Grok 4.6 update in August, targeting long-running agents, supports its 13.2% share, but trails in key verified benchmarks; OpenAI's GPT-5.5 and Google's Gemini remain competitive in multimodal workflows yet lag the leader on coding and reasoning metrics heading into year-end resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা