Traders view the race for the leading Text Arena Math AI model by end of October as highly uncertain, with no dominant frontrunner and Anthropic’s 31.5% implied probability reflecting only a modest edge over DeepSeek and several Chinese labs. Recent releases from DeepSeek, ByteDance, and Tencent have narrowed gaps in multi-step mathematical reasoning benchmarks, highlighting advantages in specialized training data and inference techniques that Western models from OpenAI and Google have not yet matched at similar scale. Competitive dynamics center on chain-of-thought performance, benchmark saturation rates, and rapid iteration cycles, with upcoming model updates before October likely to drive sentiment shifts in this closely contested field.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডDeepSeek 20%
ByteDance 17%
Meta 16%
Tencent 15%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 31, 2026
DeepSeek
20%
ByteDance
17%
Meta
16%
Tencent
15%
Microsoft
15%
Baidu
12%
OpenAI
11%
Mistral
8%
Amazon
5%
StepFun
5%
Alibaba
5%
MiniMax
5%
SpaceXAI
5%
Moonshot
4%
3%
Xiaomi
2%
Z.ai
1%
Nvidia
1%
Meituan
1%
Anthropic
42%
DeepSeek 20%
ByteDance 17%
Meta 16%
Tencent 15%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 31, 2026
DeepSeek
$159 Vol.
20%
ByteDance
$82 Vol.
17%
Meta
$103 Vol.
16%
Tencent
$149 Vol.
15%
Microsoft
$77 Vol.
15%
Baidu
$77 Vol.
12%
OpenAI
$102 Vol.
11%
Mistral
$127 Vol.
8%
Amazon
$147 Vol.
5%
StepFun
$121 Vol.
5%
Alibaba
$93 Vol.
5%
MiniMax
$115 Vol.
5%
SpaceXAI
$95 Vol.
5%
Moonshot
$93 Vol.
4%
$103 Vol.
3%
Xiaomi
$206 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$102 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$110 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$130 Vol.
1%
Anthropic
$138 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view the race for the leading Text Arena Math AI model by end of October as highly uncertain, with no dominant frontrunner and Anthropic’s 31.5% implied probability reflecting only a modest edge over DeepSeek and several Chinese labs. Recent releases from DeepSeek, ByteDance, and Tencent have narrowed gaps in multi-step mathematical reasoning benchmarks, highlighting advantages in specialized training data and inference techniques that Western models from OpenAI and Google have not yet matched at similar scale. Competitive dynamics center on chain-of-thought performance, benchmark saturation rates, and rapid iteration cycles, with upcoming model updates before October likely to drive sentiment shifts in this closely contested field.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
ভলিউম
$2,332শেষ তারিখ
Oct 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view the race for the leading Text Arena Math AI model by end of October as highly uncertain, with no dominant frontrunner and Anthropic’s 31.5% implied probability reflecting only a modest edge over DeepSeek and several Chinese labs. Recent releases from DeepSeek, ByteDance, and Tencent have narrowed gaps in multi-step mathematical reasoning benchmarks, highlighting advantages in specialized training data and inference techniques that Western models from OpenAI and Google have not yet matched at similar scale. Competitive dynamics center on chain-of-thought performance, benchmark saturation rates, and rapid iteration cycles, with upcoming model updates before October likely to drive sentiment shifts in this closely contested field.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$2,332শেষ তারিখ
Oct 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the race for the leading Text Arena Math AI model by end of October as highly uncertain, with no dominant frontrunner and Anthropic’s 31.5% implied probability reflecting only a modest edge over DeepSeek and several Chinese labs. Recent releases from DeepSeek, ByteDance, and Tencent have narrowed gaps in multi-step mathematical reasoning benchmarks, highlighting advantages in specialized training data and inference techniques that Western models from OpenAI and Google have not yet matched at similar scale. Competitive dynamics center on chain-of-thought performance, benchmark saturation rates, and rapid iteration cycles, with upcoming model updates before October likely to drive sentiment shifts in this closely contested field.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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