Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently leads the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at 64.5–65% accuracy as of early September 2026, driven by iterative gains in multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and adaptive inference on the 2,500-question expert-level benchmark spanning math, physics, and other domains. This positions the models well ahead of competitors such as Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 (~62%) and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/GPT-6 variants (mid-to-high 50s). The benchmark’s design resists saturation, so further lifts depend on verifiable capability jumps rather than optimization tricks. Traders are watching for additional Claude releases or enhanced agentic setups before year-end that could push scores toward or past 70%, while noting typical frontier-model timelines and the risk of evaluation-condition changes affecting reported results.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$97,560 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
55%+
91%
60%+
51%
65%+
22%
70%+
7%
75%+
5%
$97,560 Vol.
55%+
$21,866 Vol.
91%
60%+
$42,278 Vol.
51%
65%+
$28,240 Vol.
22%
70%+
$3,870 Vol.
7%
75%+
$1,306 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently leads the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at 64.5–65% accuracy as of early September 2026, driven by iterative gains in multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and adaptive inference on the 2,500-question expert-level benchmark spanning math, physics, and other domains. This positions the models well ahead of competitors such as Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 (~62%) and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/GPT-6 variants (mid-to-high 50s). The benchmark’s design resists saturation, so further lifts depend on verifiable capability jumps rather than optimization tricks. Traders are watching for additional Claude releases or enhanced agentic setups before year-end that could push scores toward or past 70%, while noting typical frontier-model timelines and the risk of evaluation-condition changes affecting reported results.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
ভলিউম
$97,560শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://agi.safe.ai/রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently leads the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at 64.5–65% accuracy as of early September 2026, driven by iterative gains in multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and adaptive inference on the 2,500-question expert-level benchmark spanning math, physics, and other domains. This positions the models well ahead of competitors such as Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 (~62%) and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/GPT-6 variants (mid-to-high 50s). The benchmark’s design resists saturation, so further lifts depend on verifiable capability jumps rather than optimization tricks. Traders are watching for additional Claude releases or enhanced agentic setups before year-end that could push scores toward or past 70%, while noting typical frontier-model timelines and the risk of evaluation-condition changes affecting reported results.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ভলিউম
$97,560শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://agi.safe.ai/রেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, particularly Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently leads the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at 64.5–65% accuracy as of early September 2026, driven by iterative gains in multi-step reasoning, tool integration, and adaptive inference on the 2,500-question expert-level benchmark spanning math, physics, and other domains. This positions the models well ahead of competitors such as Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 (~62%) and OpenAI’s GPT-5.4/GPT-6 variants (mid-to-high 50s). The benchmark’s design resists saturation, so further lifts depend on verifiable capability jumps rather than optimization tricks. Traders are watching for additional Claude releases or enhanced agentic setups before year-end that could push scores toward or past 70%, while noting typical frontier-model timelines and the risk of evaluation-condition changes affecting reported results.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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