Traders see a tight contest for the top LiveBench overall score by end of October, with Anthropic and OpenAI models currently leading the June 2026 snapshot at 83.0 and 81.0 respectively through Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 variants. This reflects intense frontier competition in reasoning and agentic capabilities, where small benchmark gains from new releases or inference optimizations can shift rankings quickly. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and Chinese labs like ByteDance or Baidu stem from their current gap on LiveBench's refreshed, contamination-resistant tasks. Key swing factors include upcoming model drops, scaling improvements, or post-training advances before the October cutoff, as the narrow leaderboard margins among closed-source leaders leave room for rapid changes in trader-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAmazon 44%
OpenAI 42%
Meta 30%
Microsoft 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 31, 2026
Amazon
44%
OpenAI
42%
Meta
30%
Microsoft
26%
DeepSeek
26%
Alibaba
26%
Thinky
23%
Baidu
20%
Z.ai
24%
Meituan
25%
Mistral
27%
MiniMax
17%
StepFun
19%
ByteDance
15%
Nvidia
18%
Anthropic
15%
SpaceXAI
42%
46%
Moonshot
43%
Tencent
43%
Xiaomi
42%
Amazon 44%
OpenAI 42%
Meta 30%
Microsoft 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Oct 31, 2026
Amazon
$0 Vol.
44%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
42%
Meta
$20 Vol.
30%
Microsoft
$0 Vol.
26%
DeepSeek
$0 Vol.
26%
Alibaba
$0 Vol.
26%
Thinky
$20 Vol.
23%
Baidu
$20 Vol.
20%
Z.ai
$20 Vol.
24%
Meituan
$0 Vol.
25%
Mistral
$33 Vol.
27%
MiniMax
$20 Vol.
17%
StepFun
$20 Vol.
19%
ByteDance
$20 Vol.
15%
Nvidia
$20 Vol.
18%
Anthropic
$20 Vol.
15%
SpaceXAI
$20 Vol.
42%
$33 Vol.
46%
Moonshot
$20 Vol.
43%
Tencent
$20 Vol.
43%
Xiaomi
$20 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Traders see a tight contest for the top LiveBench overall score by end of October, with Anthropic and OpenAI models currently leading the June 2026 snapshot at 83.0 and 81.0 respectively through Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 variants. This reflects intense frontier competition in reasoning and agentic capabilities, where small benchmark gains from new releases or inference optimizations can shift rankings quickly. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and Chinese labs like ByteDance or Baidu stem from their current gap on LiveBench's refreshed, contamination-resistant tasks. Key swing factors include upcoming model drops, scaling improvements, or post-training advances before the October cutoff, as the narrow leaderboard margins among closed-source leaders leave room for rapid changes in trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$326শেষ তারিখ
Oct 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Traders see a tight contest for the top LiveBench overall score by end of October, with Anthropic and OpenAI models currently leading the June 2026 snapshot at 83.0 and 81.0 respectively through Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 variants. This reflects intense frontier competition in reasoning and agentic capabilities, where small benchmark gains from new releases or inference optimizations can shift rankings quickly. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and Chinese labs like ByteDance or Baidu stem from their current gap on LiveBench's refreshed, contamination-resistant tasks. Key swing factors include upcoming model drops, scaling improvements, or post-training advances before the October cutoff, as the narrow leaderboard margins among closed-source leaders leave room for rapid changes in trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
ভলিউম
$326শেষ তারিখ
Oct 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tight contest for the top LiveBench overall score by end of October, with Anthropic and OpenAI models currently leading the June 2026 snapshot at 83.0 and 81.0 respectively through Claude Fable 5 and GPT-5.6 variants. This reflects intense frontier competition in reasoning and agentic capabilities, where small benchmark gains from new releases or inference optimizations can shift rankings quickly. Lower odds for Google, Meta, and Chinese labs like ByteDance or Baidu stem from their current gap on LiveBench's refreshed, contamination-resistant tasks. Key swing factors include upcoming model drops, scaling improvements, or post-training advances before the October cutoff, as the narrow leaderboard margins among closed-source leaders leave room for rapid changes in trader-implied odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা