**Trader consensus on the third-best AI lab by end of November reflects a tightly contested frontier where benchmark leadership, model releases, and cost-efficiency gains keep multiple contenders in play.** Recent leaderboards show Anthropic’s Claude variants and OpenAI’s GPT-6 family trading top spots on reasoning and coding tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash and Chinese labs including DeepSeek, Moonshot’s Kimi, and Alibaba’s Qwen deliver strong open-weight or lower-cost alternatives that narrow the U.S.-China capability gap to single-digit percentages on key metrics. High implied probabilities across numerous labs signal that traders view differentiation as driven less by raw intelligence scores and more by reliability, deployment scale, and developer adoption ahead of the November resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMeituan 47%
Alibaba 45%
StepFun 45%
DeepSeek 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
Meituan
47%
Alibaba
45%
StepFun
45%
DeepSeek
26%
Microsoft
26%
Anthropic
22%
Thinky
21%
Z.ai
21%
Tencent
20%
19%
SpaceXAI
19%
MiniMax
17%
Meta
17%
ByteDance
14%
Moonshot
14%
Baidu
14%
Nvidia
13%
Mistral
12%
Amazon
11%
Xiaomi
11%
OpenAI
9%
Meituan 47%
Alibaba 45%
StepFun 45%
DeepSeek 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
Meituan
$37 Vol.
47%
Alibaba
$37 Vol.
45%
StepFun
$37 Vol.
45%
DeepSeek
$37 Vol.
26%
Microsoft
$37 Vol.
26%
Anthropic
$37 Vol.
22%
Thinky
$37 Vol.
21%
Z.ai
$37 Vol.
21%
Tencent
$37 Vol.
20%
$37 Vol.
19%
SpaceXAI
$37 Vol.
19%
MiniMax
$37 Vol.
17%
Meta
$37 Vol.
17%
ByteDance
$46 Vol.
14%
Moonshot
$37 Vol.
14%
Baidu
$37 Vol.
14%
Nvidia
$37 Vol.
13%
Mistral
$37 Vol.
12%
Amazon
$37 Vol.
11%
Xiaomi
$37 Vol.
11%
OpenAI
$37 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Trader consensus on the third-best AI lab by end of November reflects a tightly contested frontier where benchmark leadership, model releases, and cost-efficiency gains keep multiple contenders in play.** Recent leaderboards show Anthropic’s Claude variants and OpenAI’s GPT-6 family trading top spots on reasoning and coding tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash and Chinese labs including DeepSeek, Moonshot’s Kimi, and Alibaba’s Qwen deliver strong open-weight or lower-cost alternatives that narrow the U.S.-China capability gap to single-digit percentages on key metrics. High implied probabilities across numerous labs signal that traders view differentiation as driven less by raw intelligence scores and more by reliability, deployment scale, and developer adoption ahead of the November resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 17, 2026, 8:10 PM ET
ভলিউম
$793শেষ তারিখ
Dec 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 8:10 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Trader consensus on the third-best AI lab by end of November reflects a tightly contested frontier where benchmark leadership, model releases, and cost-efficiency gains keep multiple contenders in play.** Recent leaderboards show Anthropic’s Claude variants and OpenAI’s GPT-6 family trading top spots on reasoning and coding tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash and Chinese labs including DeepSeek, Moonshot’s Kimi, and Alibaba’s Qwen deliver strong open-weight or lower-cost alternatives that narrow the U.S.-China capability gap to single-digit percentages on key metrics. High implied probabilities across numerous labs signal that traders view differentiation as driven less by raw intelligence scores and more by reliability, deployment scale, and developer adoption ahead of the November resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$793শেষ তারিখ
Dec 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 8:10 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the third-best AI lab by end of November reflects a tightly contested frontier where benchmark leadership, model releases, and cost-efficiency gains keep multiple contenders in play.** Recent leaderboards show Anthropic’s Claude variants and OpenAI’s GPT-6 family trading top spots on reasoning and coding tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.8 Flash and Chinese labs including DeepSeek, Moonshot’s Kimi, and Alibaba’s Qwen deliver strong open-weight or lower-cost alternatives that narrow the U.S.-China capability gap to single-digit percentages on key metrics. High implied probabilities across numerous labs signal that traders view differentiation as driven less by raw intelligence scores and more by reliability, deployment scale, and developer adoption ahead of the November resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা