Traders see no dominant leader in text-to-video AI as of mid-September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field where ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0, Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash, and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 trade top spots on arenas for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, motion choreography, and 4K output. Recent launches including Meta’s Movie Gen and incremental updates from Alibaba’s Wan series and Runway’s Gen-4.5 reinforce competitive parity, while OpenAI’s Sora 2 deprecation removes one prior contender. Key swing factors through November include new benchmark releases, model capability jumps in physics consistency or real-time generation, and any major partnerships or regulatory shifts affecting deployment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডGoogle 27%
SpaceXAI 26%
Pruna 26%
MiniMax 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
27%
SpaceXAI
26%
Pruna
26%
MiniMax
26%
Lightricks
26%
Pika
26%
Genmo AI
25%
Meta
14%
Kandinsky
14%
Tencent
14%
Black Forest Labs
14%
ByteDance
14%
OpenAI
14%
Pixverse
14%
Runway
14%
KlingAI
14%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
13%
Luma AI
13%
Google 27%
SpaceXAI 26%
Pruna 26%
MiniMax 26%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 30, 2026
$0 Vol.
27%
SpaceXAI
$0 Vol.
26%
Pruna
$0 Vol.
26%
MiniMax
$0 Vol.
26%
Lightricks
$0 Vol.
26%
Pika
$0 Vol.
26%
Genmo AI
$0 Vol.
25%
Meta
$0 Vol.
14%
Kandinsky
$0 Vol.
14%
Tencent
$0 Vol.
14%
Black Forest Labs
$0 Vol.
14%
ByteDance
$0 Vol.
14%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
14%
Pixverse
$0 Vol.
14%
Runway
$0 Vol.
14%
KlingAI
$0 Vol.
14%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$0 Vol.
13%
Luma AI
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see no dominant leader in text-to-video AI as of mid-September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field where ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0, Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash, and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 trade top spots on arenas for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, motion choreography, and 4K output. Recent launches including Meta’s Movie Gen and incremental updates from Alibaba’s Wan series and Runway’s Gen-4.5 reinforce competitive parity, while OpenAI’s Sora 2 deprecation removes one prior contender. Key swing factors through November include new benchmark releases, model capability jumps in physics consistency or real-time generation, and any major partnerships or regulatory shifts affecting deployment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Dec 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see no dominant leader in text-to-video AI as of mid-September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field where ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0, Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash, and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 trade top spots on arenas for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, motion choreography, and 4K output. Recent launches including Meta’s Movie Gen and incremental updates from Alibaba’s Wan series and Runway’s Gen-4.5 reinforce competitive parity, while OpenAI’s Sora 2 deprecation removes one prior contender. Key swing factors through November include new benchmark releases, model capability jumps in physics consistency or real-time generation, and any major partnerships or regulatory shifts affecting deployment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Dec 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Traders see no dominant leader in text-to-video AI as of mid-September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field where ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0, Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash, and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 trade top spots on arenas for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, motion choreography, and 4K output. Recent launches including Meta’s Movie Gen and incremental updates from Alibaba’s Wan series and Runway’s Gen-4.5 reinforce competitive parity, while OpenAI’s Sora 2 deprecation removes one prior contender. Key swing factors through November include new benchmark releases, model capability jumps in physics consistency or real-time generation, and any major partnerships or regulatory shifts affecting deployment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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