**Forecast models from MetService, international sources, and AccuWeather currently cluster daytime maxima for Wellington on August 14 around 13–14°C under moderate northerly or variable flow with limited cloud cover.** This aligns directly with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes (combined ~83% implied probability) and reflects near-average mid-winter conditions. Long-term climatology shows typical August daily highs of 12–15°C, and the NIWA seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August 2026. **No strong cold fronts or blocking highs are expected to drive extremes outside the 13–15°C window, keeping tails below 12°C or above 16°C at very low probabilities.** Recent model runs have remained stable, with only modest warming from northerly shifts preventing colder minima from suppressing the daytime peak. Updated official briefings and fresh ensemble guidance over the next 24–48 hours remain the primary catalysts that could shift trader sentiment if they introduce greater spread or a clearer signal toward one side of the 13–14°C range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 14?
14°C 52%
13°C 32%
15°C 13%
12°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
32%
14°C
52%
15°C
13%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 52%
13°C 32%
15°C 13%
12°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
8°C or below
$331 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$319 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$399 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$5 Vol.
2%
12°C
$109 Vol.
4%
13°C
$263 Vol.
32%
14°C
$512 Vol.
52%
15°C
$72 Vol.
13%
16°C
$50 Vol.
3%
17°C
$7 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$98 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService, international sources, and AccuWeather currently cluster daytime maxima for Wellington on August 14 around 13–14°C under moderate northerly or variable flow with limited cloud cover.** This aligns directly with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes (combined ~83% implied probability) and reflects near-average mid-winter conditions. Long-term climatology shows typical August daily highs of 12–15°C, and the NIWA seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August 2026.
**No strong cold fronts or blocking highs are expected to drive extremes outside the 13–15°C window, keeping tails below 12°C or above 16°C at very low probabilities.** Recent model runs have remained stable, with only modest warming from northerly shifts preventing colder minima from suppressing the daytime peak. Updated official briefings and fresh ensemble guidance over the next 24–48 hours remain the primary catalysts that could shift trader sentiment if they introduce greater spread or a clearer signal toward one side of the 13–14°C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,159শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService, international sources, and AccuWeather currently cluster daytime maxima for Wellington on August 14 around 13–14°C under moderate northerly or variable flow with limited cloud cover.** This aligns directly with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes (combined ~83% implied probability) and reflects near-average mid-winter conditions. Long-term climatology shows typical August daily highs of 12–15°C, and the NIWA seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August 2026.
**No strong cold fronts or blocking highs are expected to drive extremes outside the 13–15°C window, keeping tails below 12°C or above 16°C at very low probabilities.** Recent model runs have remained stable, with only modest warming from northerly shifts preventing colder minima from suppressing the daytime peak. Updated official briefings and fresh ensemble guidance over the next 24–48 hours remain the primary catalysts that could shift trader sentiment if they introduce greater spread or a clearer signal toward one side of the 13–14°C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,159শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from MetService, international sources, and AccuWeather currently cluster daytime maxima for Wellington on August 14 around 13–14°C under moderate northerly or variable flow with limited cloud cover.** This aligns directly with the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes (combined ~83% implied probability) and reflects near-average mid-winter conditions. Long-term climatology shows typical August daily highs of 12–15°C, and the NIWA seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August 2026. **No strong cold fronts or blocking highs are expected to drive extremes outside the 13–15°C window, keeping tails below 12°C or above 16°C at very low probabilities.** Recent model runs have remained stable, with only modest warming from northerly shifts preventing colder minima from suppressing the daytime peak. Updated official briefings and fresh ensemble guidance over the next 24–48 hours remain the primary catalysts that could shift trader sentiment if they introduce greater spread or a clearer signal toward one side of the 13–14°C range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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