Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 12 shows a mostly sunny to partly cloudy setup with highs near 85–88 °F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations, positioning the 86–87 °F bin as the market favorite at 52.5 % implied probability. Afternoon convective development and modest humidity are expected to cap extreme peaks, keeping 88–89 °F at 28.5 % while limiting upside risk to the 1.8 % chance of 90–91 °F. Warmer-than-average August conditions and the absence of strong high pressure have kept temperatures above the 83 °F seasonal norm, yet model consensus favors moderation from scattered storms rather than full insolation. Updated midday observations and any revised NHC or local forecast discussions could shift bins before official daily maximums are recorded.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in NYC on August 12?
86-87°F 53%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 18%
90-91°F 1.9%
$24,844 Vol.
$24,844 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
53%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 53%
88-89°F 29%
84-85°F 18%
90-91°F 1.9%
$24,844 Vol.
$24,844 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
53%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for August 12 shows a mostly sunny to partly cloudy setup with highs near 85–88 °F at Central Park and LaGuardia stations, positioning the 86–87 °F bin as the market favorite at 52.5 % implied probability. Afternoon convective development and modest humidity are expected to cap extreme peaks, keeping 88–89 °F at 28.5 % while limiting upside risk to the 1.8 % chance of 90–91 °F. Warmer-than-average August conditions and the absence of strong high pressure have kept temperatures above the 83 °F seasonal norm, yet model consensus favors moderation from scattered storms rather than full insolation. Updated midday observations and any revised NHC or local forecast discussions could shift bins before official daily maximums are recorded.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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