Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate consensus point to a maximum of 26–28°C in Istanbul on August 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with mostly sunny skies and light winds. This aligns with climatological August averages of 27–28°C and recent short-range forecasts showing no significant heat advection or Mediterranean moisture surge. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal norms, limiting additional warming, while ensemble spreads indicate low probability of exceeding 29°C or dropping below 25°C absent an unexpected frontal passage. Traders have priced the 26°C outcome highest at 54% implied probability because model guidance has converged on this narrow range with minimal day-to-day revisions in the past 48 hours.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
26°C 54%
25°C 27%
27°C 16%
28°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
27%
26°C
54%
27°C
16%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
25°C 27%
27°C 16%
28°C 6%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
$12 Vol.
2%
24°C
$22 Vol.
3%
25°C
$52 Vol.
27%
26°C
$127 Vol.
54%
27°C
$255 Vol.
16%
28°C
$1 Vol.
6%
29°C
$10 Vol.
3%
30°C
$33 Vol.
1%
31°C
$17 Vol.
4%
32°C
$255 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate consensus point to a maximum of 26–28°C in Istanbul on August 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with mostly sunny skies and light winds. This aligns with climatological August averages of 27–28°C and recent short-range forecasts showing no significant heat advection or Mediterranean moisture surge. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal norms, limiting additional warming, while ensemble spreads indicate low probability of exceeding 29°C or dropping below 25°C absent an unexpected frontal passage. Traders have priced the 26°C outcome highest at 54% implied probability because model guidance has converged on this narrow range with minimal day-to-day revisions in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$813শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate consensus point to a maximum of 26–28°C in Istanbul on August 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with mostly sunny skies and light winds. This aligns with climatological August averages of 27–28°C and recent short-range forecasts showing no significant heat advection or Mediterranean moisture surge. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal norms, limiting additional warming, while ensemble spreads indicate low probability of exceeding 29°C or dropping below 25°C absent an unexpected frontal passage. Traders have priced the 26°C outcome highest at 54% implied probability because model guidance has converged on this narrow range with minimal day-to-day revisions in the past 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$813শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate consensus point to a maximum of 26–28°C in Istanbul on August 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with mostly sunny skies and light winds. This aligns with climatological August averages of 27–28°C and recent short-range forecasts showing no significant heat advection or Mediterranean moisture surge. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal norms, limiting additional warming, while ensemble spreads indicate low probability of exceeding 29°C or dropping below 25°C absent an unexpected frontal passage. Traders have priced the 26°C outcome highest at 54% implied probability because model guidance has converged on this narrow range with minimal day-to-day revisions in the past 48 hours.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা