Numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently favor a maximum of 36°C in Chongqing on August 12, driven by a strong subtropical high, southerly warm advection, and minimal cloud cover that supports daytime heating while boundary-layer moisture keeps peaks from surging higher. This consensus underpins the market's leading 36°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of 35°C and 37°C, as traders weigh small forecast spreads in urban heat-island effects and local humidity. August climatology shows typical highs of 34–35°C with frequent excursions above 37°C during heat episodes, but recent model runs indicate stable steering patterns unlikely to deliver extreme intensification today. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with any last-minute convective development or revised analysis potentially shifting the exact peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 12?
36°C 43%
35°C 28%
37°C 23%
38°C 8%
$34,932 Vol.
$34,932 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
28%
36°C
43%
37°C
23%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 43%
35°C 28%
37°C 23%
38°C 8%
$34,932 Vol.
$34,932 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
28%
36°C
43%
37°C
23%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently favor a maximum of 36°C in Chongqing on August 12, driven by a strong subtropical high, southerly warm advection, and minimal cloud cover that supports daytime heating while boundary-layer moisture keeps peaks from surging higher. This consensus underpins the market's leading 36°C outcome at 42.5% implied probability, ahead of 35°C and 37°C, as traders weigh small forecast spreads in urban heat-island effects and local humidity. August climatology shows typical highs of 34–35°C with frequent excursions above 37°C during heat episodes, but recent model runs indicate stable steering patterns unlikely to deliver extreme intensification today. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with any last-minute convective development or revised analysis potentially shifting the exact peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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