Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI highlight a warm air mass advection over the Netherlands on August 13, driven by persistent high-pressure patterns following Europe's 2026 heatwave activity. This setup supports daily maximums near 32–34°C, with model spread on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover producing the tightest trader consensus around 33°C at 35.5% implied probability. Historical August climatology for Amsterdam shows typical highs of 21–23°C, making current anomalies notable yet within forecast uncertainty ranges. KNMI and ECMWF updates through the next 48 hours will refine land-sea breeze influences and any late convective cooling, directly informing resolution thresholds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 13?
33°C 36%
32°C 27%
34°C 21%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
21%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 36%
32°C 27%
34°C 21%
31°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
21%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and KNMI highlight a warm air mass advection over the Netherlands on August 13, driven by persistent high-pressure patterns following Europe's 2026 heatwave activity. This setup supports daily maximums near 32–34°C, with model spread on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover producing the tightest trader consensus around 33°C at 35.5% implied probability. Historical August climatology for Amsterdam shows typical highs of 21–23°C, making current anomalies notable yet within forecast uncertainty ranges. KNMI and ECMWF updates through the next 48 hours will refine land-sea breeze influences and any late convective cooling, directly informing resolution thresholds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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