Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show Shanghai's overnight low on August 14 likely settling near 27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 75%, and light winds typical of the East Asian summer monsoon that limit radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects in the densely built city further buffer against sharper drops, aligning with historical mid-August averages of 25–27°C and recent extended outlooks projecting 23–28°C lows amid scattered thunderstorms. These conditions explain the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C and 26°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting model consensus and low likelihood of atypical clear skies or stronger advection. Updated runs ahead of the date could refine probabilities as new observational data emerges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
27°C 67%
26°C 21%
25°C 9%
28°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
9%
26°C
21%
27°C
67%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
27°C 67%
26°C 21%
25°C 9%
28°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$130 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$110 Vol.
1%
23°C
$116 Vol.
4%
24°C
$104 Vol.
4%
25°C
$150 Vol.
9%
26°C
$905 Vol.
21%
27°C
$1,149 Vol.
67%
28°C
$135 Vol.
5%
29°C
$107 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show Shanghai's overnight low on August 14 likely settling near 27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 75%, and light winds typical of the East Asian summer monsoon that limit radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects in the densely built city further buffer against sharper drops, aligning with historical mid-August averages of 25–27°C and recent extended outlooks projecting 23–28°C lows amid scattered thunderstorms. These conditions explain the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C and 26°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting model consensus and low likelihood of atypical clear skies or stronger advection. Updated runs ahead of the date could refine probabilities as new observational data emerges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$3,164শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show Shanghai's overnight low on August 14 likely settling near 27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 75%, and light winds typical of the East Asian summer monsoon that limit radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects in the densely built city further buffer against sharper drops, aligning with historical mid-August averages of 25–27°C and recent extended outlooks projecting 23–28°C lows amid scattered thunderstorms. These conditions explain the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C and 26°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting model consensus and low likelihood of atypical clear skies or stronger advection. Updated runs ahead of the date could refine probabilities as new observational data emerges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$3,164শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources show Shanghai's overnight low on August 14 likely settling near 27°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity above 75%, and light winds typical of the East Asian summer monsoon that limit radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects in the densely built city further buffer against sharper drops, aligning with historical mid-August averages of 25–27°C and recent extended outlooks projecting 23–28°C lows amid scattered thunderstorms. These conditions explain the market's heavy weighting toward 27°C and 26°C outcomes, with lower probabilities for extremes reflecting model consensus and low likelihood of atypical clear skies or stronger advection. Updated runs ahead of the date could refine probabilities as new observational data emerges.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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