Persistent inflation pressures above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with resilient labor market data and energy price shocks, have driven market-implied odds of a 2026 rate hike to 71.5% for “Yes.” The federal funds rate sits at 3.50–3.75%, with the effective rate near 3.63% as of early September. Recent FOMC projections and communications under Chair Warsh reflect a hawkish tilt, with more participants penciling in increases by year-end than cuts. The September 16 meeting, including updated economic projections, and incoming CPI and employment releases represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the current trader consensus priced into futures markets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডহ্যাঁ
72% সম্ভাবনা
$8,752,087 Vol.
$8,752,087 Vol.
Dec 8, 2026
হ্যাঁ
72% সম্ভাবনা
$8,752,087 Vol.
$8,752,087 Vol.
Dec 8, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with resilient labor market data and energy price shocks, have driven market-implied odds of a 2026 rate hike to 71.5% for “Yes.” The federal funds rate sits at 3.50–3.75%, with the effective rate near 3.63% as of early September. Recent FOMC projections and communications under Chair Warsh reflect a hawkish tilt, with more participants penciling in increases by year-end than cuts. The September 16 meeting, including updated economic projections, and incoming CPI and employment releases represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the current trader consensus priced into futures markets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$8,752,087শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with resilient labor market data and energy price shocks, have driven market-implied odds of a 2026 rate hike to 71.5% for “Yes.” The federal funds rate sits at 3.50–3.75%, with the effective rate near 3.63% as of early September. Recent FOMC projections and communications under Chair Warsh reflect a hawkish tilt, with more participants penciling in increases by year-end than cuts. The September 16 meeting, including updated economic projections, and incoming CPI and employment releases represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the current trader consensus priced into futures markets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$8,752,089শেষ তারিখ
Dec 9, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with resilient labor market data and energy price shocks, have driven market-implied odds of a 2026 rate hike to 71.5% for “Yes.” The federal funds rate sits at 3.50–3.75%, with the effective rate near 3.63% as of early September. Recent FOMC projections and communications under Chair Warsh reflect a hawkish tilt, with more participants penciling in increases by year-end than cuts. The September 16 meeting, including updated economic projections, and incoming CPI and employment releases represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the current trader consensus priced into futures markets.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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