Eurozone GDP growth forecasts for 2026 have clustered near 0.8–0.9% following repeated downward revisions by the ECB, OECD, European Commission, and IMF, driven by the lingering energy shock from geopolitical tensions, elevated inflation pressures, and softer external demand. Recent quarterly data show modest or contracting output in early 2026, with resilient domestic activity offset by weak industrial production and net exports. The market-implied 78.8% probability on the 0–1.0% bracket aligns with this consensus, while the 14.5% odds on 1.0–2.0% reflect limited upside scenarios tied to faster energy price normalization or stronger German fiscal support. Traders are pricing in subdued momentum ahead of further ECB policy signals and incoming inflation and PMI releases.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড0-1.0% 78.8%
1.0-2.0% 15%
4.0-5.0% 5.2%
<0% 3.3%
$30,417 Vol.
$30,417 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<0%
3%
0-1.0%
79%
1.0-2.0%
15%
2.0-3.0%
1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
5%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 78.8%
1.0-2.0% 15%
4.0-5.0% 5.2%
<0% 3.3%
$30,417 Vol.
$30,417 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<0%
$1,672 Vol.
3%
0-1.0%
$11,512 Vol.
79%
1.0-2.0%
$7,156 Vol.
15%
2.0-3.0%
$1,180 Vol.
1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,096 Vol.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,240 Vol.
5%
5.0-6.0%
$1,185 Vol.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,648 Vol.
1%
7.0%+
$1,728 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth forecasts for 2026 have clustered near 0.8–0.9% following repeated downward revisions by the ECB, OECD, European Commission, and IMF, driven by the lingering energy shock from geopolitical tensions, elevated inflation pressures, and softer external demand. Recent quarterly data show modest or contracting output in early 2026, with resilient domestic activity offset by weak industrial production and net exports. The market-implied 78.8% probability on the 0–1.0% bracket aligns with this consensus, while the 14.5% odds on 1.0–2.0% reflect limited upside scenarios tied to faster energy price normalization or stronger German fiscal support. Traders are pricing in subdued momentum ahead of further ECB policy signals and incoming inflation and PMI releases.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
ভলিউম
$30,417শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth forecasts for 2026 have clustered near 0.8–0.9% following repeated downward revisions by the ECB, OECD, European Commission, and IMF, driven by the lingering energy shock from geopolitical tensions, elevated inflation pressures, and softer external demand. Recent quarterly data show modest or contracting output in early 2026, with resilient domestic activity offset by weak industrial production and net exports. The market-implied 78.8% probability on the 0–1.0% bracket aligns with this consensus, while the 14.5% odds on 1.0–2.0% reflect limited upside scenarios tied to faster energy price normalization or stronger German fiscal support. Traders are pricing in subdued momentum ahead of further ECB policy signals and incoming inflation and PMI releases.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$30,417শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone GDP growth forecasts for 2026 have clustered near 0.8–0.9% following repeated downward revisions by the ECB, OECD, European Commission, and IMF, driven by the lingering energy shock from geopolitical tensions, elevated inflation pressures, and softer external demand. Recent quarterly data show modest or contracting output in early 2026, with resilient domestic activity offset by weak industrial production and net exports. The market-implied 78.8% probability on the 0–1.0% bracket aligns with this consensus, while the 14.5% odds on 1.0–2.0% reflect limited upside scenarios tied to faster energy price normalization or stronger German fiscal support. Traders are pricing in subdued momentum ahead of further ECB policy signals and incoming inflation and PMI releases.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা