Israeli officials are assessing the need for a renewed ground maneuver centered on Gaza City, where Hamas leadership and infrastructure reportedly remain concentrated, as disarmament talks stall under the fragile October 2025 ceasefire. The IDF has expanded control beyond the Yellow Line demarcation—now exceeding 60 percent of the territory—and conducted targeted strikes on Hamas operatives rebuilding capabilities, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has conditioned any further withdrawal on complete demilitarization. Recent incidents, including cross-line violations and low-level attacks, have prompted warnings of zero-tolerance responses, with defense planners outlining phased operations and civilian evacuation plans should current diplomatic efforts fail. These developments keep open the possibility of escalation within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$752,540 交易量
2025-10-30
12月31日
11%
$752,540 交易量
12月31日
$102,909 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials are assessing the need for a renewed ground maneuver centered on Gaza City, where Hamas leadership and infrastructure reportedly remain concentrated, as disarmament talks stall under the fragile October 2025 ceasefire. The IDF has expanded control beyond the Yellow Line demarcation—now exceeding 60 percent of the territory—and conducted targeted strikes on Hamas operatives rebuilding capabilities, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has conditioned any further withdrawal on complete demilitarization. Recent incidents, including cross-line violations and low-level attacks, have prompted warnings of zero-tolerance responses, with defense planners outlining phased operations and civilian evacuation plans should current diplomatic efforts fail. These developments keep open the possibility of escalation within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
交易量
$752,540结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials are assessing the need for a renewed ground maneuver centered on Gaza City, where Hamas leadership and infrastructure reportedly remain concentrated, as disarmament talks stall under the fragile October 2025 ceasefire. The IDF has expanded control beyond the Yellow Line demarcation—now exceeding 60 percent of the territory—and conducted targeted strikes on Hamas operatives rebuilding capabilities, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has conditioned any further withdrawal on complete demilitarization. Recent incidents, including cross-line violations and low-level attacks, have prompted warnings of zero-tolerance responses, with defense planners outlining phased operations and civilian evacuation plans should current diplomatic efforts fail. These developments keep open the possibility of escalation within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$752,540结束日期
2025-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETIsraeli officials are assessing the need for a renewed ground maneuver centered on Gaza City, where Hamas leadership and infrastructure reportedly remain concentrated, as disarmament talks stall under the fragile October 2025 ceasefire. The IDF has expanded control beyond the Yellow Line demarcation—now exceeding 60 percent of the territory—and conducted targeted strikes on Hamas operatives rebuilding capabilities, while Prime Minister Netanyahu has conditioned any further withdrawal on complete demilitarization. Recent incidents, including cross-line violations and low-level attacks, have prompted warnings of zero-tolerance responses, with defense planners outlining phased operations and civilian evacuation plans should current diplomatic efforts fail. These developments keep open the possibility of escalation within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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