Recent diplomatic activity has centered on U.S. pressure linking Saudi Arabia’s civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to normalization with Israel, yet Riyadh continues to condition any such step on progress toward a Palestinian state, with no formal negotiations or timeline advancing toward an August signing. Kazakhstan’s accession in late 2025 and Somaliland’s pledge marked the most recent expansions, but no comparable breakthroughs have emerged with Oman, additional Arab states, or others in 2026. The remaining window of roughly 30 days leaves insufficient time for the required bilateral talks, public announcements, and ceremonial steps that have characterized prior accessions. Trader consensus at 86% for no new member reflects these procedural and political constraints.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-08-31
是
最新
最新
2026-08-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic activity has centered on U.S. pressure linking Saudi Arabia’s civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to normalization with Israel, yet Riyadh continues to condition any such step on progress toward a Palestinian state, with no formal negotiations or timeline advancing toward an August signing. Kazakhstan’s accession in late 2025 and Somaliland’s pledge marked the most recent expansions, but no comparable breakthroughs have emerged with Oman, additional Arab states, or others in 2026. The remaining window of roughly 30 days leaves insufficient time for the required bilateral talks, public announcements, and ceremonial steps that have characterized prior accessions. Trader consensus at 86% for no new member reflects these procedural and political constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
交易量
$94结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic activity has centered on U.S. pressure linking Saudi Arabia’s civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to normalization with Israel, yet Riyadh continues to condition any such step on progress toward a Palestinian state, with no formal negotiations or timeline advancing toward an August signing. Kazakhstan’s accession in late 2025 and Somaliland’s pledge marked the most recent expansions, but no comparable breakthroughs have emerged with Oman, additional Arab states, or others in 2026. The remaining window of roughly 30 days leaves insufficient time for the required bilateral talks, public announcements, and ceremonial steps that have characterized prior accessions. Trader consensus at 86% for no new member reflects these procedural and political constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$94结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic activity has centered on U.S. pressure linking Saudi Arabia’s civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to normalization with Israel, yet Riyadh continues to condition any such step on progress toward a Palestinian state, with no formal negotiations or timeline advancing toward an August signing. Kazakhstan’s accession in late 2025 and Somaliland’s pledge marked the most recent expansions, but no comparable breakthroughs have emerged with Oman, additional Arab states, or others in 2026. The remaining window of roughly 30 days leaves insufficient time for the required bilateral talks, public announcements, and ceremonial steps that have characterized prior accessions. Trader consensus at 86% for no new member reflects these procedural and political constraints.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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