Diplomatic relations between the United States and most nations remain stable despite isolated tensions, supporting the 80.5% trader consensus against any ambassador expulsion by December 31. No government has declared a U.S. envoy persona non grata in 2026, and recent friction such as Canada’s petition drive targeting Ambassador Pete Hoekstra has produced public signatures but no parliamentary action or official removal. Iranian statements offering incentives for expulsions of U.S. and Israeli representatives have generated no follow-through from Arab or European states. Bilateral economic ties, alliance commitments, and the high diplomatic costs of severance continue to outweigh isolated disputes, keeping the probability of an expulsion event low through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
14% 概率
$33,006 交易量
$33,006 交易量
2026-12-30
是
14% 概率
$33,006 交易量
$33,006 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Diplomatic relations between the United States and most nations remain stable despite isolated tensions, supporting the 80.5% trader consensus against any ambassador expulsion by December 31. No government has declared a U.S. envoy persona non grata in 2026, and recent friction such as Canada’s petition drive targeting Ambassador Pete Hoekstra has produced public signatures but no parliamentary action or official removal. Iranian statements offering incentives for expulsions of U.S. and Israeli representatives have generated no follow-through from Arab or European states. Bilateral economic ties, alliance commitments, and the high diplomatic costs of severance continue to outweigh isolated disputes, keeping the probability of an expulsion event low through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
交易量
$33,006结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Diplomatic relations between the United States and most nations remain stable despite isolated tensions, supporting the 80.5% trader consensus against any ambassador expulsion by December 31. No government has declared a U.S. envoy persona non grata in 2026, and recent friction such as Canada’s petition drive targeting Ambassador Pete Hoekstra has produced public signatures but no parliamentary action or official removal. Iranian statements offering incentives for expulsions of U.S. and Israeli representatives have generated no follow-through from Arab or European states. Bilateral economic ties, alliance commitments, and the high diplomatic costs of severance continue to outweigh isolated disputes, keeping the probability of an expulsion event low through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$33,006结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic relations between the United States and most nations remain stable despite isolated tensions, supporting the 80.5% trader consensus against any ambassador expulsion by December 31. No government has declared a U.S. envoy persona non grata in 2026, and recent friction such as Canada’s petition drive targeting Ambassador Pete Hoekstra has produced public signatures but no parliamentary action or official removal. Iranian statements offering incentives for expulsions of U.S. and Israeli representatives have generated no follow-through from Arab or European states. Bilateral economic ties, alliance commitments, and the high diplomatic costs of severance continue to outweigh isolated disputes, keeping the probability of an expulsion event low through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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