**Trader sentiment for the leading image-to-video AI by end of October reflects a fragmented field where no single company has pulled decisively ahead.** ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0/2.5 variants and Google’s Veo 3.1 frequently top Artificial Analysis I2V leaderboards for cinematic motion, subject consistency, and native audio integration, while Kling 3.0 excels in realistic physics and multi-shot handling, and models from MiniMax, Alibaba (HappyHorse/Wan), and others deliver competitive results on cost, lip-sync, or speed. Recent benchmark updates and blind tests highlight how small differences in prompt adherence, temporal stability, and feature sets keep probabilities tightly clustered. With resolution, length, and audio capabilities advancing rapidly across labs, upcoming releases or arena shifts before October could quickly reorder the field and explain why “Other” and several named players sit near parity in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于MiniMax 29%
阿里巴巴/Alibaba-ATH 25%
谷歌 23%
字节跳动 22%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
MiniMax
20%
阿里巴巴/Alibaba-ATH
25%
谷歌
23%
字节跳动
22%
Pruna
21%
Luma AI
21%
Pika
21%
盛数
19%
腾讯
18%
KlingAI
13%
Lightricks
11%
Black Forest Labs
13%
SpaceXAI
18%
Pixverse
18%
Runway
1%
MiniMax 29%
阿里巴巴/Alibaba-ATH 25%
谷歌 23%
字节跳动 22%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
MiniMax
$115 交易量
20%
阿里巴巴/Alibaba-ATH
$100 交易量
25%
谷歌
$84 交易量
23%
字节跳动
$59 交易量
22%
Pruna
$51 交易量
21%
Luma AI
$37 交易量
21%
Pika
$37 交易量
21%
盛数
$59 交易量
19%
腾讯
$75 交易量
18%
KlingAI
$64 交易量
13%
Lightricks
$81 交易量
11%
Black Forest Labs
$74 交易量
13%
SpaceXAI
$41 交易量
18%
Pixverse
$51 交易量
18%
Runway
$167 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Trader sentiment for the leading image-to-video AI by end of October reflects a fragmented field where no single company has pulled decisively ahead.** ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0/2.5 variants and Google’s Veo 3.1 frequently top Artificial Analysis I2V leaderboards for cinematic motion, subject consistency, and native audio integration, while Kling 3.0 excels in realistic physics and multi-shot handling, and models from MiniMax, Alibaba (HappyHorse/Wan), and others deliver competitive results on cost, lip-sync, or speed.
Recent benchmark updates and blind tests highlight how small differences in prompt adherence, temporal stability, and feature sets keep probabilities tightly clustered. With resolution, length, and audio capabilities advancing rapidly across labs, upcoming releases or arena shifts before October could quickly reorder the field and explain why “Other” and several named players sit near parity in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
交易量
$1,094结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:52 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Trader sentiment for the leading image-to-video AI by end of October reflects a fragmented field where no single company has pulled decisively ahead.** ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0/2.5 variants and Google’s Veo 3.1 frequently top Artificial Analysis I2V leaderboards for cinematic motion, subject consistency, and native audio integration, while Kling 3.0 excels in realistic physics and multi-shot handling, and models from MiniMax, Alibaba (HappyHorse/Wan), and others deliver competitive results on cost, lip-sync, or speed.
Recent benchmark updates and blind tests highlight how small differences in prompt adherence, temporal stability, and feature sets keep probabilities tightly clustered. With resolution, length, and audio capabilities advancing rapidly across labs, upcoming releases or arena shifts before October could quickly reorder the field and explain why “Other” and several named players sit near parity in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$1,094结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:52 PM ET**Trader sentiment for the leading image-to-video AI by end of October reflects a fragmented field where no single company has pulled decisively ahead.** ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0/2.5 variants and Google’s Veo 3.1 frequently top Artificial Analysis I2V leaderboards for cinematic motion, subject consistency, and native audio integration, while Kling 3.0 excels in realistic physics and multi-shot handling, and models from MiniMax, Alibaba (HappyHorse/Wan), and others deliver competitive results on cost, lip-sync, or speed. Recent benchmark updates and blind tests highlight how small differences in prompt adherence, temporal stability, and feature sets keep probabilities tightly clustered. With resolution, length, and audio capabilities advancing rapidly across labs, upcoming releases or arena shifts before October could quickly reorder the field and explain why “Other” and several named players sit near parity in market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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