Recent May 2026 data showing a sharp widening of the goods and services trade deficit to $77.6 billion—driven by a 3.3% rise in imports to $395.3 billion and a 3.2% drop in exports—has anchored trader expectations for the June release near that level. Higher purchases of consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, vehicles, and crude oil contrasted with lower shipments of metals and tech products, reflecting persistent domestic demand and supply-chain dynamics. Ongoing trade policy uncertainty, including tariff measures and reviews with key partners, continues to influence import front-loading and export flows. With the June figure due August 4, market-implied odds of 78.5% for the 70-80 billion range capture this recent momentum while incorporating the potential for modest monthly volatility in the data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于70-80B 79%
60-70B 16%
50-60B 4%
80-90B 3.6%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
<50B
<1%
50-60B
4%
60-70B
16%
70-80B
79%
80-90B
4%
90-100B
3%
100B+
1%
70-80B 79%
60-70B 16%
50-60B 4%
80-90B 3.6%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
<50B
$397 交易量
<1%
50-60B
$293 交易量
4%
60-70B
$454 交易量
16%
70-80B
$6,407 交易量
79%
80-90B
$246 交易量
4%
90-100B
$246 交易量
3%
100B+
$357 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 data showing a sharp widening of the goods and services trade deficit to $77.6 billion—driven by a 3.3% rise in imports to $395.3 billion and a 3.2% drop in exports—has anchored trader expectations for the June release near that level. Higher purchases of consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, vehicles, and crude oil contrasted with lower shipments of metals and tech products, reflecting persistent domestic demand and supply-chain dynamics. Ongoing trade policy uncertainty, including tariff measures and reviews with key partners, continues to influence import front-loading and export flows. With the June figure due August 4, market-implied odds of 78.5% for the 70-80 billion range capture this recent momentum while incorporating the potential for modest monthly volatility in the data.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
交易量
$8,399结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent May 2026 data showing a sharp widening of the goods and services trade deficit to $77.6 billion—driven by a 3.3% rise in imports to $395.3 billion and a 3.2% drop in exports—has anchored trader expectations for the June release near that level. Higher purchases of consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, vehicles, and crude oil contrasted with lower shipments of metals and tech products, reflecting persistent domestic demand and supply-chain dynamics. Ongoing trade policy uncertainty, including tariff measures and reviews with key partners, continues to influence import front-loading and export flows. With the June figure due August 4, market-implied odds of 78.5% for the 70-80 billion range capture this recent momentum while incorporating the potential for modest monthly volatility in the data.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$8,399结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 2026 data showing a sharp widening of the goods and services trade deficit to $77.6 billion—driven by a 3.3% rise in imports to $395.3 billion and a 3.2% drop in exports—has anchored trader expectations for the June release near that level. Higher purchases of consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, vehicles, and crude oil contrasted with lower shipments of metals and tech products, reflecting persistent domestic demand and supply-chain dynamics. Ongoing trade policy uncertainty, including tariff measures and reviews with key partners, continues to influence import front-loading and export flows. With the June figure due August 4, market-implied odds of 78.5% for the 70-80 billion range capture this recent momentum while incorporating the potential for modest monthly volatility in the data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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