Recent polling averages place Liberalerna at 2.2–3.3 percent support ahead of the September 13 election, consistently below the 4 percent national threshold required for Riksdag seats under Sweden’s proportional system. Multiple surveys from Indikator Opinion, Verian, Demoskop, and Novus through late August and early September show the party trailing its 2022 result of 4.6 percent, with limited campaign momentum on education or liberal priorities amid bloc competition. Minor late gains to around 3 percent have narrowed but not closed the gap, while the tight left-right contest amplifies the impact of any threshold miss. Trader pricing for “No” at 57.5 percent aligns with these patterns and the structural barriers to entry.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
43% 概率
$86,559 交易量
$86,559 交易量
2026-09-12
是
43% 概率
$86,559 交易量
$86,559 交易量
2026-09-12
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Liberalerna at 2.2–3.3 percent support ahead of the September 13 election, consistently below the 4 percent national threshold required for Riksdag seats under Sweden’s proportional system. Multiple surveys from Indikator Opinion, Verian, Demoskop, and Novus through late August and early September show the party trailing its 2022 result of 4.6 percent, with limited campaign momentum on education or liberal priorities amid bloc competition. Minor late gains to around 3 percent have narrowed but not closed the gap, while the tight left-right contest amplifies the impact of any threshold miss. Trader pricing for “No” at 57.5 percent aligns with these patterns and the structural barriers to entry.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 5:12 AM ET
交易量
$86,559结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:12 AM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Liberalerna at 2.2–3.3 percent support ahead of the September 13 election, consistently below the 4 percent national threshold required for Riksdag seats under Sweden’s proportional system. Multiple surveys from Indikator Opinion, Verian, Demoskop, and Novus through late August and early September show the party trailing its 2022 result of 4.6 percent, with limited campaign momentum on education or liberal priorities amid bloc competition. Minor late gains to around 3 percent have narrowed but not closed the gap, while the tight left-right contest amplifies the impact of any threshold miss. Trader pricing for “No” at 57.5 percent aligns with these patterns and the structural barriers to entry.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$86,559结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:12 AM ETRecent polling averages place Liberalerna at 2.2–3.3 percent support ahead of the September 13 election, consistently below the 4 percent national threshold required for Riksdag seats under Sweden’s proportional system. Multiple surveys from Indikator Opinion, Verian, Demoskop, and Novus through late August and early September show the party trailing its 2022 result of 4.6 percent, with limited campaign momentum on education or liberal priorities amid bloc competition. Minor late gains to around 3 percent have narrowed but not closed the gap, while the tight left-right contest amplifies the impact of any threshold miss. Trader pricing for “No” at 57.5 percent aligns with these patterns and the structural barriers to entry.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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