China's central bank has maintained its benchmark one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% for over a year amid resilient first-half 2026 growth and stable interbank liquidity, reducing immediate pressure for broad adjustments before September. Traders see balanced risks from moderating industrial output and retail sales data alongside persistent policy signals favoring targeted liquidity tools over benchmark shifts. A moderately loose stance leaves room for reserve requirement ratio adjustments or rate moves later in the year, yet upbeat GDP readings and external factors such as trade dynamics and global central bank paths keep the probability of any change versus stability closely contested. Upcoming quarterly data releases and PBOC communications through mid-year could shift the balance by clarifying whether easing or tightening becomes warranted.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于不变 87%
降息 14%
加息 <1%
$17,997 交易量
$17,997 交易量
2026-09-30
加息
<1%
不变
87%
降息
14%
不变 87%
降息 14%
加息 <1%
$17,997 交易量
$17,997 交易量
2026-09-30
加息
$1,501 交易量
<1%
不变
$8,894 交易量
87%
降息
$7,602 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.China's central bank has maintained its benchmark one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% for over a year amid resilient first-half 2026 growth and stable interbank liquidity, reducing immediate pressure for broad adjustments before September. Traders see balanced risks from moderating industrial output and retail sales data alongside persistent policy signals favoring targeted liquidity tools over benchmark shifts. A moderately loose stance leaves room for reserve requirement ratio adjustments or rate moves later in the year, yet upbeat GDP readings and external factors such as trade dynamics and global central bank paths keep the probability of any change versus stability closely contested. Upcoming quarterly data releases and PBOC communications through mid-year could shift the balance by clarifying whether easing or tightening becomes warranted.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
交易量
$17,997结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.China's central bank has maintained its benchmark one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% for over a year amid resilient first-half 2026 growth and stable interbank liquidity, reducing immediate pressure for broad adjustments before September. Traders see balanced risks from moderating industrial output and retail sales data alongside persistent policy signals favoring targeted liquidity tools over benchmark shifts. A moderately loose stance leaves room for reserve requirement ratio adjustments or rate moves later in the year, yet upbeat GDP readings and external factors such as trade dynamics and global central bank paths keep the probability of any change versus stability closely contested. Upcoming quarterly data releases and PBOC communications through mid-year could shift the balance by clarifying whether easing or tightening becomes warranted.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
交易量
$17,997结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 9:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...China's central bank has maintained its benchmark one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% for over a year amid resilient first-half 2026 growth and stable interbank liquidity, reducing immediate pressure for broad adjustments before September. Traders see balanced risks from moderating industrial output and retail sales data alongside persistent policy signals favoring targeted liquidity tools over benchmark shifts. A moderately loose stance leaves room for reserve requirement ratio adjustments or rate moves later in the year, yet upbeat GDP readings and external factors such as trade dynamics and global central bank paths keep the probability of any change versus stability closely contested. Upcoming quarterly data releases and PBOC communications through mid-year could shift the balance by clarifying whether easing or tightening becomes warranted.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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