Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+19, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning the seat as a Solid Republican hold. Incumbent Glenn Thompson, seeking a tenth term after winning his primary uncontested, faces Democrat Ray Bilger in the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects the district's rural, conservative base in north-central Pennsylvania, where fundraising and name recognition favor the GOP. Challenges could emerge from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, late developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent that shift local dynamics before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,575 交易量
$25,575 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$25,575 交易量
$25,575 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$9,179 交易量
95%
民主党
$16,397 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+19, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning the seat as a Solid Republican hold. Incumbent Glenn Thompson, seeking a tenth term after winning his primary uncontested, faces Democrat Ray Bilger in the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects the district's rural, conservative base in north-central Pennsylvania, where fundraising and name recognition favor the GOP. Challenges could emerge from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, late developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent that shift local dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$25,575结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+19, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning the seat as a Solid Republican hold. Incumbent Glenn Thompson, seeking a tenth term after winning his primary uncontested, faces Democrat Ray Bilger in the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects the district's rural, conservative base in north-central Pennsylvania, where fundraising and name recognition favor the GOP. Challenges could emerge from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, late developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent that shift local dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,575结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+19, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning the seat as a Solid Republican hold. Incumbent Glenn Thompson, seeking a tenth term after winning his primary uncontested, faces Democrat Ray Bilger in the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects the district's rural, conservative base in north-central Pennsylvania, where fundraising and name recognition favor the GOP. Challenges could emerge from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, late developments affecting turnout, or unforeseen personal or legal issues for the incumbent that shift local dynamics before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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