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icon for 纽约市长#职位2026年8月14日至8月21日?

纽约市长#职位2026年8月14日至8月21日?

icon for 纽约市长#职位2026年8月14日至8月21日?

纽约市长#职位2026年8月14日至8月21日?

40-59 49%

20-39 40%

60-79 13%

100-119 1.1%

Polymarket
最新

$10,694 交易量

40-59 49%

20-39 40%

60-79 13%

100-119 1.1%

Polymarket
最新

$10,694 交易量

<20

$659 交易量

1%

20-39

$3,024 交易量

40%

40-59

$2,032 交易量

49%

60-79

$1,526 交易量

13%

80-99

$686 交易量

1%

100-119

$475 交易量

1%

120-139

$453 交易量

1%

140-159

$453 交易量

1%

160-179

$438 交易量

<1%

180-199

$475 交易量

<1%

200+

$475 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, who assumed office as NYC mayor in January 2026, maintains active official accounts including @NYCMayor for announcements, policy updates, and constituent engagement. Recent weeks have featured multiple press conferences and statements on issues such as subway infrastructure, delivery regulations, and extreme weather, alongside viral trends where residents tag the mayor directly on X for local concerns. Trader pricing reflects uncertainty over his exact weekly output amid a busy early term schedule, competing demands from governance and public communications, and the potential for news cycles or events to influence posting volume. The tight spread between the 20-39 and 40-59 ranges highlights limited historical data on his mayoral cadence compared to predecessors, with separation likely driven by scheduled milestones, rapid-response needs, or quieter periods in the coming week.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$10,694
结束日期
2026-08-21
市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, who assumed office as NYC mayor in January 2026, maintains active official accounts including @NYCMayor for announcements, policy updates, and constituent engagement. Recent weeks have featured multiple press conferences and statements on issues such as subway infrastructure, delivery regulations, and extreme weather, alongside viral trends where residents tag the mayor directly on X for local concerns. Trader pricing reflects uncertainty over his exact weekly output amid a busy early term schedule, competing demands from governance and public communications, and the potential for news cycles or events to influence posting volume. The tight spread between the 20-39 and 40-59 ranges highlights limited historical data on his mayoral cadence compared to predecessors, with separation likely driven by scheduled milestones, rapid-response needs, or quieter periods in the coming week.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$10,694
结束日期
2026-08-21
市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"纽约市长#职位2026年8月14日至8月21日?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"40-59",概率为 49%,其次是"20-39",概率为 40%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 49¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 49%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"纽约市长#职位2026年8月14日至8月21日?"已产生 $10.7K 的总交易量(自Aug 11, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"纽约市长#职位2026年8月14日至8月21日?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"纽约市长#职位2026年8月14日至8月21日?"的当前领先者是"40-59",概率为 49%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 49%。紧随其后的结果是"20-39",概率为 40%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"纽约市长#职位2026年8月14日至8月21日?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。