Rebeca Grynspan leads trader sentiment at 58.5 percent due to her current role as UNCTAD Secretary-General, prior UNDP leadership, and extensive multilateral experience in trade and development, which align with General Assembly preferences for continuity and Latin American and Caribbean Group representation after António Guterres. Rafael Grossi follows at 30.5 percent, supported by his IAEA directorship and diplomatic track record on nuclear issues, though trailing in perceived breadth of backing. Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet register low single-digit odds amid limited endorsements and questions over continental or institutional alignment. Recent interactive dialogues in April and June 2026, plus a July town hall, have clarified candidate visions ahead of expected Security Council straw polls, with the selection process emphasizing transparency, regional rotation considerations, and P5 consensus requirements before a late-2026 General Assembly vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Rebeca Grynspan 59%
Rafael Grossi 31%
Macky Sall 3.9%
Michelle Bachelet 2.5%
$168,173 交易量
$168,173 交易量

Rebeca Grynspan
59%

Rafael Grossi
31%

Macky Sall
4%

Michelle Bachelet
2%
Rebeca Grynspan 59%
Rafael Grossi 31%
Macky Sall 3.9%
Michelle Bachelet 2.5%
$168,173 交易量
$168,173 交易量

Rebeca Grynspan
59%

Rafael Grossi
31%

Macky Sall
4%

Michelle Bachelet
2%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rebeca Grynspan leads trader sentiment at 58.5 percent due to her current role as UNCTAD Secretary-General, prior UNDP leadership, and extensive multilateral experience in trade and development, which align with General Assembly preferences for continuity and Latin American and Caribbean Group representation after António Guterres. Rafael Grossi follows at 30.5 percent, supported by his IAEA directorship and diplomatic track record on nuclear issues, though trailing in perceived breadth of backing. Macky Sall and Michelle Bachelet register low single-digit odds amid limited endorsements and questions over continental or institutional alignment. Recent interactive dialogues in April and June 2026, plus a July town hall, have clarified candidate visions ahead of expected Security Council straw polls, with the selection process emphasizing transparency, regional rotation considerations, and P5 consensus requirements before a late-2026 General Assembly vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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